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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Primera Division · Round 11
Liverpool Montevideo
CA Penarol Montevideo
22:30Sun
27%
45%
Draw28%

CA Penarol Montevideo are the stronger side

DWWWD

last 5 games

DWDWD

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo · 11,000 seats
Referee
Esteban Ostojich (Uruguay)
Managers
Jorge Fossati · Diego Aguirre
Preview

Liverpool Montevideo are 9th of 16 in Primera Division 2026, Apertura, with 20 points from 15 games played.

CA Penarol Montevideo are 4th of 16, with 27 points from 15 games played.

Over their last 10, Liverpool Montevideo scored 1.4 and conceded 0.9 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

CA Penarol Montevideo scored 1.7 and conceded 0.9 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Liverpool Montevideo last played Dep Maldonado (away) and drew 1-1.

CA Penarol Montevideo last played Progreso (at home) and drew 1-1.

Head-to-head, Liverpool Montevideo has 2W 1D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liverpool Montevideo
3Win2Draw0Loss
Primera Division, Clausura
20 Sep 2026 · 00:00
Liverpool MLM
0-0
RCRacing Club
Copa Uruguay, Group F
23 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Liverpool MLM
3-0
CFColon FC
Primera Division, Clausura
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00
Central EspanolCE
1-2
LMLiverpool M
CA Penarol Montevideo

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.500
20.520.5

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.840.8
61.240.8
Events
Team

Penarol haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches

CA Penarol Montevideo or draw · 73% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Liverpool M haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool Montevideo or draw · 55% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

Penarol scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

CA Penarol Montevideo over 0.5 goals · 75% chanceCA Penarol Montevideo over 1.5 goals · 41% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Penarol haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 away matches

CA Penarol Montevideo or draw · 73% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

13 of Penarol's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals in Primera Division

Over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

13 of Penarol's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half in Primera Division

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 65% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Penarol conceded in 13 of their last 15 home matches in Primera Division

Liverpool Montevideo over 0.5 goals · 64% chance
13 / 15
Goals conceded

Liverpool M scored in 12 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool Montevideo over 0.5 goals · 64% chanceLiverpool Montevideo over 1.5 goals · 27% chance
12 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Liverpool Montevideo and CA Penarol Montevideo in Primera Division, Clausura

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
RCRacing Club Montevideo
15
9
4
2
23:14
31
2.07
LLLDW
2
DMDeportivo Maldonado
15
9
2
4
24:16
29
1.93
DWWWL
3
AFAlbion FC
15
8
4
3
26:16
28
1.87
WWLLL
4
CPCA Penarol Montevideo
15
8
3
4
23:16
27
1.8
DWDWW
5
CECentral Espanol FC
15
7
3
5
23:22
24
1.6
LLLLD
6
MCMontevideo City Torque
15
6
5
4
22:16
23
1.53
WLDLW
7
CNClub Nacional de Football
15
7
1
7
26:21
22
1.47
WWWWD
8
DSDefensor Sporting
15
5
6
4
13:11
21
1.4
LLWLW
9
LMLiverpool Montevideo
15
5
5
5
20:18
20
1.33
DWWDL
10
MWMontevideo Wanderers
15
6
2
7
16:21
20
1.33
LWWDD
11
DFDanubio FC
15
4
6
5
17:21
18
1.2
LWLDD
12
CLCerro Largo FC
15
5
2
8
16:19
17
1.13
DLLLL
13
CBCA Boston River
15
5
2
8
14:20
17
1.13
WDLLL
14
CJCA Juventud de Las Piedras
15
4
3
8
17:22
15
1
LWDDW
15
CPCA Progreso
15
2
4
9
12:23
10
0.67
WDLWW
16
CCCA Cerro
15
2
4
9
8:24
10
0.67
DWLDL
Playoffs

Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Penarol Montevideo: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Liverpool Montevideo
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
CA Penarol Montevideo
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Liverpool Montevideo
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
CA Penarol Montevideo
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
CA Penarol Montevideo
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Liverpool Montevideo
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
CA Penarol Montevideo
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Liverpool Montevideo
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
CA Penarol Montevideo
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
draw or CA Penarol Montevideo
73% chance
Over 1.5 · total goals
70% chance
CA Penarol Montevideo (draw no bet)
63% chance
Best value
Over 1.5 · total goals
70% chance
CA Penarol Montevideo (draw no bet)
63% chance
Liverpool Montevideo
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
0.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
CA Penarol Montevideo
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
0.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Liverpool Montevideo
CA Penarol Montevideo
Primera Division, Clausura
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Liverpool MLM
3-2
PProgreso
Primera Division, Clausura
09 Oct 2026 · 00:00
Dep MaldonadoDM
1-1
LMLiverpool M
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game
2Win3Draw0Loss
Copa Uruguay, Group A
24 Sep 2026 · 20:00
DanubioD
1-1
PPenarol
Primera Division, Clausura
26 Sep 2026 · 22:30
PenarolP
2-1
BRBoston River
Primera Division, Clausura
30 Sep 2026 · 00:00
Montevideo CityMC
1-1
PPenarol
Primera Division, Clausura
04 Oct 2026 · 23:30
Racing ClubRC
0-1
PPenarol
Primera Division, Clausura
10 Oct 2026 · 22:30
PenarolP
1-1
PProgreso
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game