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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Europa League · Round 3
Sturm Graz
Marseille
17:45Thu
WDLWL

last 5 games

LLLWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Merkur Arena, Graz · 16,364 seats
Managers
Fabio Ingolitsch · Bruno Genesio
Preview

Sturm Graz are 26th of 36 in UEFA Europa League 26/27, with 1 points from 2 games played.

Marseille are 31st of 36, with 0 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Sturm Graz scored 1.1 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Marseille scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Sturm Graz last played Bournemouth (away) and lost 0-3.

Marseille last played Olympiacos (at home) and lost 0-1.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

Sturm Graz

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

2Win1Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 16:00
Sturm GrazSG
2-1
LLASK
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Sturm GrazSG
0-0
SRStade Rennais
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SalzburgS
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Marseille
1Win0Draw4Loss
Ligue 1
11 Sep 2026 · 19:45
Stade RennaisSR
1-0
MMarseille
UEFA Europa League
17 Sep 2026 · 20:00
BesiktasB
4-1
MMarseille
Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MarseilleM
1-2
PPSG

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.420.4
10.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.871.4
40.881.6
Events
Team

15 of Sturm Graz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Marseille didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

15 / 15
No draws

14 of Marseille's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

14 / 15
No draws

14 of Marseille's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Marseille didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

14 / 15
No draws

13 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals

13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Sturm Graz haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 home matches

13 / 15
Unbeaten

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sturm Graz and Marseille in UEFA Europa League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
JTJuventus Turin
2
2
0
0
7:1
6
3
WW
2
BLBayer Leverkusen
2
2
0
0
6:0
6
3
WW
3
SBSL Benfica
2
2
0
0
6:1
6
3
WWWWD
4
BIBesiktas Istanbul
2
2
0
0
7:3
6
3
WWLWW
5
ABAFC Bournemouth
2
2
0
0
5:1
6
3
WW
6
AOAC Omonia Nicosia
2
2
0
0
4:0
6
3
WWWLW
7
FBFerencvarosi Budapest
2
2
0
0
5:2
6
3
WWWWD
8
OLOlympique Lyon
2
2
0
0
5:3
6
3
WW
9
SASunderland AFC
2
2
0
0
3:1
6
3
WW
10
OPOlympiacos Piraeus
2
2
0
0
3:1
6
3
WW
11
SPSparta Prague
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
DW
12
USUnion Saint-Gilloise
2
1
1
0
4:1
4
2
DW
13
SRStade Rennais FC
2
1
1
0
2:1
4
2
WD
14
GDGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
1
0
1:0
4
2
WD
15
CPCrystal Palace
2
1
0
1
6:3
3
1.5
LW
16
AMAC Milan
2
1
0
1
4:2
3
1.5
WL
17
JBJagiellonia Bialystok
2
1
0
1
4:3
3
1.5
WLWWD
18
OCOFI Crete
2
1
0
1
3:2
3
1.5
LWWW
19
STSCU Torreense
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
1.5
LW
20
AAAZ Alkmaar
2
1
0
1
2:2
3
1.5
WL
21
FSFC Salzburg
2
1
0
1
1:4
3
1.5
LWWWD
22
LSLillestroem SK
2
0
1
1
2:3
1
0.5
DLWD
22
RSReal Sociedad San Sebastian
2
0
1
1
2:3
1
0.5
DL
24
HBHapoel Be`er Sheva FC
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
LD
24
PLPFC Levski Sofia
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
DL
26
SSSK Sturm Graz
2
0
1
1
0:3
1
0.5
LD
27
NNNEC Nijmegen
2
0
1
1
1:6
1
0.5
DL
28
RCRC Celta de Vigo
2
0
0
2
1:3
0
0
LL
28
RARSC Anderlecht
2
0
0
2
1:3
0
0
LLWWW
30
THTSG Hoffenheim
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
31
FVFC Viktoria Plzen
2
0
0
2
1:5
0
0
LLWL
31
OMOlympique Marseille
2
0
0
2
1:5
0
0
LL
33
CGCeltic Glasgow
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LL
33
FAFC Ararat-Armenia
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LLWD
35
NCNK Celje
2
0
0
2
0:5
0
0
LL
36
KLKKS Lech Poznan
2
0
0
2
0:8
0
0
LLDWW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sturm Graz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Marseille
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sturm Graz
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Marseille
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sturm Graz
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Marseille
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sturm Graz
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Marseille
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sturm Graz
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Marseille
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Sturm Graz or Marseille
74% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
66% chance
Marseille (draw no bet)
63% chance
Best value
Marseille to win
47% chance
Marseille (draw no bet)
63% chance
Sturm Graz
Last 10 games
1.1
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Marseille
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Sturm Graz

Nobody listed.

Marseille
  • Out · Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Derek Cornelius (Defender) — Injured
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 18:30
AustriaA
0-2
SGSturm Graz
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BournemouthB
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 · 19:45
TroyesT
0-2
MMarseille
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
MarseilleM
0-1
OOlympiacos
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game