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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Europa League · Round 3
FC Ararat-Armenia
Alkmaar
17:45Thu
16%
64%
Draw20%

Alkmaar are the stronger side

WLWDL

last 5 games

DLWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan · 14,403 seats
Managers
Manuel Tulipa · Lee Roy Echteld
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Home 3.90→4.50 (+15.4%), 1X2: Draw 4.10→4.67 (+13.9%), 1X2: Home 5.27→5.93 (+12.5%), Double Chance: Home or Draw 2.15→2.40 (+11.6%)
Preview

FC Ararat-Armenia are 33rd of 36 in UEFA Europa League 26/27, with 0 points from 2 games played.

Alkmaar are 20th of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, FC Ararat-Armenia scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Alkmaar scored 2 and conceded 1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

FC Ararat-Armenia last played Jagiellonia (away) and lost 1-3.

Alkmaar last played Be`er Sheva (at home) and won 2-1.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

FC Ararat-Armenia

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

2Win1Draw2Loss
Premier League
11 Sep 2026 · 16:00
Ararat-ArmeniaA
3-0
FSFC Syunik
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 17:45
Ararat-ArmeniaA
1-4
SPSparta Prague
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00
ShirakS
1-3
AArarat-Armenia
Alkmaar
2Win1Draw2Loss
Eredivisie
11 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AlkmaarA
1-1
WIWillem II
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SunderlandS
1-0
AAlkmaar
Eredivisie
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
AlkmaarA
1-0
TTelstar

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.251
20.410.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.891.8
40.851
Events
Team

Alkmaar haven't lost in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Alkmaar or draw · 84% chance
15 / 15
Unbeaten

Alkmaar scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Alkmaar over 0.5 goals · 88% chanceAlkmaar over 1.5 goals · 63% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Ararat-Armenia scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

FC Ararat-Armenia over 0.5 goals · 62% chanceFC Ararat-Armenia over 1.5 goals · 26% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Alkmaar's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Alkmaar's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Alkmaar won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Alkmaar to win or over 2.5 goals · 80% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

13 of Ararat-Armenia's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Ararat-Armenia didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 home matches

FC Ararat-Armenia or Alkmaar (no draw) · 80% chance
13 / 15
No draws

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of FC Ararat-Armenia and Alkmaar in UEFA Europa League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
JTJuventus Turin
2
2
0
0
7:1
6
3
WW
2
BLBayer Leverkusen
2
2
0
0
6:0
6
3
WW
3
SBSL Benfica
2
2
0
0
6:1
6
3
WWWWD
4
BIBesiktas Istanbul
2
2
0
0
7:3
6
3
WWLWW
5
ABAFC Bournemouth
2
2
0
0
5:1
6
3
WW
6
AOAC Omonia Nicosia
2
2
0
0
4:0
6
3
WWWLW
7
FBFerencvarosi Budapest
2
2
0
0
5:2
6
3
WWWWD
8
OLOlympique Lyon
2
2
0
0
5:3
6
3
WW
9
SASunderland AFC
2
2
0
0
3:1
6
3
WW
10
OPOlympiacos Piraeus
2
2
0
0
3:1
6
3
WW
11
SPSparta Prague
2
1
1
0
5:2
4
2
DW
12
USUnion Saint-Gilloise
2
1
1
0
4:1
4
2
DW
13
SRStade Rennais FC
2
1
1
0
2:1
4
2
WD
14
GDGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
1
0
1:0
4
2
WD
15
CPCrystal Palace
2
1
0
1
6:3
3
1.5
LW
16
AMAC Milan
2
1
0
1
4:2
3
1.5
WL
17
JBJagiellonia Bialystok
2
1
0
1
4:3
3
1.5
WLWWD
18
OCOFI Crete
2
1
0
1
3:2
3
1.5
LWWW
19
STSCU Torreense
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
1.5
LW
20
AAAZ Alkmaar
2
1
0
1
2:2
3
1.5
WL
21
FSFC Salzburg
2
1
0
1
1:4
3
1.5
LWWWD
22
LSLillestroem SK
2
0
1
1
2:3
1
0.5
DLWD
22
RSReal Sociedad San Sebastian
2
0
1
1
2:3
1
0.5
DL
24
HBHapoel Be`er Sheva FC
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
LD
24
PLPFC Levski Sofia
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
DL
26
SSSK Sturm Graz
2
0
1
1
0:3
1
0.5
LD
27
NNNEC Nijmegen
2
0
1
1
1:6
1
0.5
DL
28
RCRC Celta de Vigo
2
0
0
2
1:3
0
0
LL
28
RARSC Anderlecht
2
0
0
2
1:3
0
0
LLWWW
30
THTSG Hoffenheim
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
31
FVFC Viktoria Plzen
2
0
0
2
1:5
0
0
LLWL
31
OMOlympique Marseille
2
0
0
2
1:5
0
0
LL
33
CGCeltic Glasgow
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LL
33
FAFC Ararat-Armenia
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LLWD
35
NCNK Celje
2
0
0
2
0:5
0
0
LL
36
KLKKS Lech Poznan
2
0
0
2
0:8
0
0
LLDWW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

FC Ararat-Armenia vs Alkmaar: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
FC Ararat-Armenia
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Alkmaar
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
FC Ararat-Armenia
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Alkmaar
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
FC Ararat-Armenia
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Alkmaar
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
FC Ararat-Armenia
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Alkmaar
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
FC Ararat-Armenia
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Alkmaar
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Alkmaar to win
62% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
both teams to score: Yes
55% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
both teams to score: Yes
55% chance
FC Ararat-Armenia
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Alkmaar
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
FC Ararat-Armenia

Nobody listed.

Alkmaar

Nobody listed.

Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00
Ararat-ArmeniaA
1-1
AYAlashkert Yerevan
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
JagielloniaJ
3-1
AArarat-Armenia
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game
Eredivisie
10 Oct 2026 · 17:45
FeyenoordF
2-0
AAlkmaar
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
AlkmaarA
2-1
BSBe`er Sheva
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game