Today's picksBuild bet slipLive radar
Slips
My bet slipConverter
Research
PredictionsTeam statsTrendsTrending picksStrongest picksPlayer betsPlayer leadersAdvanced filtersLeague rankingsLeague strength
SBStratosPlay Bet
SBStratosPlay Bet
Account
Today's picksBuild bet slipLive radar
Slips
Converter
Research
PredictionsTeam statsTrendsTrending picksStrongest picksPlayer betsPlayer leadersAdvanced filtersLeague rankingsLeague strength
StratosPlay Bet

Single-sport slips, built from real data, with an honest win-chance estimate on every one.

Site
  • Analyse games
  • Today's picks
  • Build bet slip
  • Live now
Slips
  • My bet slip
  • Converter
Research
  • Predictions
  • Team stats
  • Trends
  • Trending picks
  • Strongest picks
  • Player bets
  • Player leaders
  • Advanced filters
  • League rankings
  • League strength
Info
  • Track record
  • How it works
  • Chat
  • Account
Legal
  • 18+ & responsible gambling
  • About our data
  • Terms of use
  • Privacy policy

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

© 2026 StratosPlay Bet. All rights reserved.

HomeLive radarBuildMy bet slipConverter

StratosPlay assistant

Analyse a game

Ask me anything about the games, your slip or your tickets. Tap one to start:

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
20:00Wed
76%
10%
Draw14%

Real Madrid are the stronger side

WWLWW

last 5 games

LWLWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid · 83,186 seats
Managers
Jose Mourinho · Martin Demichelis
Preview

Real Madrid are 8th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 6 points from 2 games played.

RB Leipzig are 21st of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Real Madrid scored 2.5 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

RB Leipzig scored 2.4 and conceded 1.4 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 30%.

Real Madrid last played Roma (away) and won 4-3.

RB Leipzig last played Eindhoven (at home) and won 1-0.

Head-to-head, Real Madrid has 2W 1D 1L from the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Real Madrid
4Win0Draw1Loss
LaLiga
12 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
4-1
VVallecano
LaLiga
15 Sep 2026 · 20:30
ElcheE
2-3
RMReal Madrid
LaLiga
20 Sep 2026 · 15:15
AtleticoA
2-1
RMReal Madrid
RB Leipzig
3Win0Draw2Loss
UEFA Champions League
10 Sep 2026 · 20:00
ComoC
4-1
LLeipzig
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeipzigL
5-0
HHamburg
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeverkusenL
2-0
LLeipzig

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.210.2
61.230.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.681.6
132.661.2
Events
Team

Leipzig didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid or RB Leipzig (no draw) · 86% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Leipzig scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

RB Leipzig over 0.5 goals · 64% chanceRB Leipzig over 1.5 goals · 27% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Leipzig won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

RB Leipzig to win or over 2.5 goals · 79% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Leipzig didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Real Madrid or RB Leipzig (no draw) · 86% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Leipzig's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 88% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Real Madrid didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid or RB Leipzig (no draw) · 86% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Real Madrid scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid over 1.5 goals · 79% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Real Madrid's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 88% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Real Madrid and RB Leipzig in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
PSParis Saint-Germain
2
2
0
0
10:3
6
3
WW
2
FBFC Barcelona
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
3
AVAston Villa
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
4
VSVfB Stuttgart
2
2
0
0
6:1
6
3
WW
5
LFLiverpool FC
2
2
0
0
8:4
6
3
WW
6
SCSporting CP
2
2
0
0
5:1
6
3
WW
7
AFArsenal FC
2
2
0
0
4:0
6
3
WW
8
RMReal Madrid
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
9
RBReal Betis Seville
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
10
BMBayern Munich
2
1
1
0
8:3
4
2
DW
11
FSFC Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
1
0
4:2
4
2
WD
12
C1Como 1907
2
1
0
1
6:4
3
1.5
LW
13
MUManchester United
2
1
0
1
4:2
3
1.5
LW
14
VCVillarreal CF
2
1
0
1
5:4
3
1.5
WL
15
AMAtletico Madrid
2
1
0
1
3:2
3
1.5
WL
16
CBClub Brugge
2
1
0
1
6:6
3
1.5
WL
17
MCManchester City
2
1
0
1
4:4
3
1.5
LW
18
BDBorussia Dortmund
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
1.5
LW
19
RCRacing Club De Lens
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
1.5
LW
20
AAAEK Athens
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RLRB Leipzig
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WL
22
SMSabah Masazir
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FRFeyenoord Rotterdam
2
1
0
1
4:7
3
1.5
WL
24
BBodoe/Glimt
2
1
0
1
1:5
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
ARAS Roma
2
0
1
1
4:5
1
0.5
LD
26
PEPSV Eindhoven
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
LD
27
VFViking FK
2
0
1
1
4:6
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FIFenerbahce Istanbul
2
0
1
1
1:7
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IMInter Milano
2
0
0
2
4:6
0
0
LL
30
FPFC Porto
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
31
SPSlavia Prague
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
32
SNSSC Napoli
2
0
0
2
1:4
0
0
LL
33
LLLASK Linz
2
0
0
2
3:7
0
0
LLWL
34
LOLille OSC
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
0
LL
35
GIGalatasaray Istanbul
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LL
36
SSSK Slovan Bratislava
2
0
0
2
1:9
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Real Madrid
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
RB Leipzig
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
RB Leipzig
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
RB Leipzig
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Real Madrid
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
RB Leipzig
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Real Madrid
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
RB Leipzig
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
76% chance
Real Madrid to win
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Best value
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Real Madrid to win
74% chance
Real Madrid
Last 10 games
2.5
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
RB Leipzig
Last 10 games
2.4
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Real Madrid
  • Out · Raul Asencio (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Eder Militao (Defender) — Injured
  • ROut · Rodrygo (Forward) — Injured
RB Leipzig
  • Out · Christoph Baumgartner (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Marc Guiu (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Assan Ouedraogo (Midfielder) — Injured
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
1-0
VVillarreal
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
RomaR
3-4
RMReal Madrid
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 17:30
LeipzigL
6-0
FFrankfurt
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
LeipzigL
1-0
EEindhoven
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game