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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Liverpool
Villarreal
20:00Tue
64%
16%
Draw20%

Liverpool are the stronger side

DWWLW

last 5 games

LWWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool · 61,276 seats
Managers
Andoni Iraola · Inigo Perez
Preview

Liverpool are 5th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 6 points from 2 games played.

Villarreal are 14th of 36, with 3 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Liverpool scored 2 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Villarreal scored 1.8 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Liverpool last played LASK (away) and won 6-3.

Villarreal last played Napoli (at home) and won 3-1.

Head-to-head, Liverpool has 3W 1D 1L from the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liverpool
3Win1Draw1Loss
Premier League
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
LiverpoolL
0-0
FFulham
EFL Cup
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
LiverpoolL
3-1
TTottenham
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
0-1
LLiverpool
Villarreal
3Win0Draw2Loss
LaLiga
14 Sep 2026 · 20:00
VillarrealV
1-2
RBReal Betis
LaLiga
17 Sep 2026 · 20:30
MalagaM
1-3
VVillarreal
LaLiga
20 Sep 2026 · 17:30
VillarrealV
3-1
LLevante

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.800
61.251

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10271.4
10261.2
Events
Team

Villarreal didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Liverpool or Villarreal (no draw) · 80% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Villarreal conceded in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 89% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Liverpool didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool or Villarreal (no draw) · 80% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Villarreal conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 89% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Villarreal's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Villarreal scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Villarreal over 0.5 goals · 64% chanceVillarreal over 1.5 goals · 27% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Villarreal conceded in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 89% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

Villarreal won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Villarreal to win or over 2.5 goals · 69% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Liverpool and Villarreal in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
PSParis Saint-Germain
2
2
0
0
10:3
6
3
WW
2
FBFC Barcelona
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
3
AVAston Villa
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
4
VSVfB Stuttgart
2
2
0
0
6:1
6
3
WW
5
LFLiverpool FC
2
2
0
0
8:4
6
3
WW
6
SCSporting CP
2
2
0
0
5:1
6
3
WW
7
AFArsenal FC
2
2
0
0
4:0
6
3
WW
8
RMReal Madrid
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
9
RBReal Betis Seville
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
10
BMBayern Munich
2
1
1
0
8:3
4
2
DW
11
FSFC Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
1
0
4:2
4
2
WD
12
C1Como 1907
2
1
0
1
6:4
3
1.5
LW
13
MUManchester United
2
1
0
1
4:2
3
1.5
LW
14
VCVillarreal CF
2
1
0
1
5:4
3
1.5
WL
15
AMAtletico Madrid
2
1
0
1
3:2
3
1.5
WL
16
CBClub Brugge
2
1
0
1
6:6
3
1.5
WL
17
MCManchester City
2
1
0
1
4:4
3
1.5
LW
18
BDBorussia Dortmund
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
1.5
LW
19
RCRacing Club De Lens
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
1.5
LW
20
AAAEK Athens
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RLRB Leipzig
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WL
22
SMSabah Masazir
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FRFeyenoord Rotterdam
2
1
0
1
4:7
3
1.5
WL
24
BBodoe/Glimt
2
1
0
1
1:5
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
ARAS Roma
2
0
1
1
4:5
1
0.5
LD
26
PEPSV Eindhoven
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
LD
27
VFViking FK
2
0
1
1
4:6
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FIFenerbahce Istanbul
2
0
1
1
1:7
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IMInter Milano
2
0
0
2
4:6
0
0
LL
30
FPFC Porto
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
31
SPSlavia Prague
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
32
SNSSC Napoli
2
0
0
2
1:4
0
0
LL
33
LLLASK Linz
2
0
0
2
3:7
0
0
LLWL
34
LOLille OSC
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
0
LL
35
GIGalatasaray Istanbul
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LL
36
SSSK Slovan Bratislava
2
0
0
2
1:9
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Liverpool vs Villarreal: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Liverpool
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Villarreal
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Liverpool
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Villarreal
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Liverpool
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Villarreal
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Liverpool
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Villarreal
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Liverpool
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Villarreal
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Liverpool to win
63% chance
both teams to score: Yes
57% chance
Best value
Liverpool to win
63% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Liverpool
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Villarreal
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
Liverpool
  • CBOut · Conor Bradley (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Hugo Ekitike (Forward) — Injured
  • GLOut · Giovanni Leoni (Defender) — Injured
Villarreal
  • Out · Alex Freeman (Defender) — Other
  • Out · Tajon Buchanan (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Nicolas Pepe (Forward) — Injured
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LASKL
3-6
LLiverpool
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
1-0
VVillarreal
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
VillarrealV
3-1
NNapoli
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game