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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

UEFA Champions League · Round 3
Porto
PSV Eindhoven
20:00Tue
54%
23%
Draw23%

Porto are the stronger side

WWWWL

last 5 games

DWLWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio do Dragao, Porto · 50,033 seats
Managers
Francesco Farioli · Peter Bosz
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Over 3.5 2.30→2.40 (+4.3%)
Preview

Porto are 30th of 36 in UEFA Champions League 26/27, with 0 points from 2 games played.

PSV Eindhoven are 26th of 36, with 1 points from 2 games played.

Over their last 10, Porto scored 2.3 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

PSV Eindhoven scored 2.7 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Porto last played Real Betis (away) and lost 2-3.

PSV Eindhoven last played Leipzig (away) and lost 0-1.

Head-to-head, Porto has 0W 0D 1L from the last 1 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Porto
4Win0Draw1Loss
Liga Portugal
12 Sep 2026 · 18:00
Casa PiaCP
1-4
PPorto
Liga Portugal
20 Sep 2026 · 20:30
PortoP
3-1
SBSL Benfica
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00
DeportivoD
1-3
PPorto
PSV Eindhoven
2Win1Draw2Loss
UEFA Champions League
10 Sep 2026 · 17:45
EindhovenE
1-1
SShakhtar
Eredivisie
13 Sep 2026 · 19:00
EindhovenE
4-1
SSparta
Eredivisie
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
EnschedeE
3-2
EEindhoven

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
5130.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
142.871.4
91.861.2
Events
Team

Porto didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 matches

Porto or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) · 77% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Eindhoven's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Porto haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Porto or draw · 77% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Porto didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Porto or PSV Eindhoven (no draw) · 77% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Eindhoven's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Porto and PSV Eindhoven in UEFA Champions League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
PSParis Saint-Germain
2
2
0
0
10:3
6
3
WW
2
FBFC Barcelona
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
3
AVAston Villa
2
2
0
0
9:2
6
3
WW
4
VSVfB Stuttgart
2
2
0
0
6:1
6
3
WW
5
LFLiverpool FC
2
2
0
0
8:4
6
3
WW
6
SCSporting CP
2
2
0
0
5:1
6
3
WW
7
AFArsenal FC
2
2
0
0
4:0
6
3
WW
8
RMReal Madrid
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
9
RBReal Betis Seville
2
2
0
0
6:4
6
3
WW
10
BMBayern Munich
2
1
1
0
8:3
4
2
DW
11
FSFC Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
1
0
4:2
4
2
WD
12
C1Como 1907
2
1
0
1
6:4
3
1.5
LW
13
MUManchester United
2
1
0
1
4:2
3
1.5
LW
14
VCVillarreal CF
2
1
0
1
5:4
3
1.5
WL
15
AMAtletico Madrid
2
1
0
1
3:2
3
1.5
WL
16
CBClub Brugge
2
1
0
1
6:6
3
1.5
WL
17
MCManchester City
2
1
0
1
4:4
3
1.5
LW
18
BDBorussia Dortmund
2
1
0
1
3:3
3
1.5
LW
19
RCRacing Club De Lens
2
1
0
1
3:4
3
1.5
LW
20
AAAEK Athens
2
1
0
1
2:3
3
1.5
LWWD
21
RLRB Leipzig
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WL
22
SMSabah Masazir
2
1
0
1
2:4
3
1.5
WLWLW
23
FRFeyenoord Rotterdam
2
1
0
1
4:7
3
1.5
WL
24
BBodoe/Glimt
2
1
0
1
1:5
3
1.5
WLWWW
25
ARAS Roma
2
0
1
1
4:5
1
0.5
LD
26
PEPSV Eindhoven
2
0
1
1
1:2
1
0.5
LD
27
VFViking FK
2
0
1
1
4:6
1
0.5
DLWD
28
FIFenerbahce Istanbul
2
0
1
1
1:7
1
0.5
LDWDW
29
IMInter Milano
2
0
0
2
4:6
0
0
LL
30
FPFC Porto
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
31
SPSlavia Prague
2
0
0
2
2:5
0
0
LL
32
SNSSC Napoli
2
0
0
2
1:4
0
0
LL
33
LLLASK Linz
2
0
0
2
3:7
0
0
LLWL
34
LOLille OSC
2
0
0
2
2:6
0
0
LL
35
GIGalatasaray Istanbul
2
0
0
2
2:7
0
0
LL
36
SSSK Slovan Bratislava
2
0
0
2
1:9
0
0
LLWDW
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Porto
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Porto
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Porto
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Porto
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Porto
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
PSV Eindhoven
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Porto or draw
77% chance
Porto (draw no bet)
70% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
Best value
Porto to win
54% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
Porto
Last 10 games
2.3
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
PSV Eindhoven
Last 10 games
2.7
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Porto
  • VSOut · Vasco Sousa (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · William Gomes (Forward) — Injured
PSV Eindhoven
  • APOut · Alassane Plea (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Jerdy Schouten (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Kiliann Sildillia (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Ricardo Pepi (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Paul Wanner (Midfielder) — Injured
Liga Portugal
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00
MadeiraM
1-2
PPorto
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real BetisRB
3-2
PPorto
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Eredivisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
EindhovenE
2-0
HHeerenveen
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
LeipzigL
1-0
EEindhoven
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game