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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

A-League · Round 1
Wellington Phoenix FC
Melbourne Victory
03:00Sun
30%
44%
Draw26%

Melbourne Victory are the stronger side

WWLWL

last 5 games

WWDLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington · 33,500 seats
Managers
Chris Greenacre · Giovanni Savarese
Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC are 7th of 12 in A-League 26/27, with 0 points from 0 games played.

Melbourne Victory are 7th of 12, with 0 points from 0 games played.

Over their last 10, Wellington Phoenix FC scored 1 and conceded 1.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Melbourne Victory scored 2.3 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Wellington Phoenix FC last played Macarthur (away) and lost 0-4.

Melbourne Victory last played Seoul (at home) and won 3-0.

Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix FC has 2W 0D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Wellington Phoenix FC
3Win0Draw2Loss
A-League
21 Mar 2026 · 05:00
BrisbaneB
1-2
WWellington
A-League
05 Apr 2026 · 06:00
Melbourne VictoryMV
0-1
WWellington
A-League
12 Apr 2026 · 06:00
Melbourne CityMC
2-0
WWellington
Melbourne Victory
3Win1Draw1Loss
Australia Cup, Knockout Stage
19 Aug 2026 · 10:30
LeichhardtL
0-1
MVMelbourne Victory
Australia Cup, Knockout Stage
09 Sep 2026 · 10:30
Sydney FCSF
0-2
MVMelbourne Victory
AFC Champions League Two, Group E
16 Sep 2026 · 13:15
The Cong - ViettelTC
1-1

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.461.2
10.200

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5181.6
112.261.2
Events
Team

15 of Wellington's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Wellington's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Melbourne Victory's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Wellington conceded in 14 of their last 15 home matches in A-League

14 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Wellington's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half in A-League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Wellington's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Wellington didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 home matches

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory (no draw) · 75% chance
13 / 15
No draws

13 of Wellington's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory in A-League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
AFAuckland FC
1
1
0
0
3:1
3
3
W
2
MFMacarthur FC
1
1
0
0
2:1
3
3
W
3
CCCentral Coast Mariners
1
0
1
0
2:2
1
1
D
3
NUNewcastle United Jets
1
0
1
0
2:2
1
1
D
5
SFSydney FC
1
0
1
0
0:0
1
1
D
5
WSWestern Sydney Wanderers
1
0
1
0
0:0
1
1
D
7
AUAdelaide United FC
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
7
BRBrisbane Roar FC
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
7
MVMelbourne Victory FC
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
7
WPWellington Phoenix FC
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
11
PGPerth Glory FC
1
0
0
1
1:2
0
0
L
12
MCMelbourne City FC
1
0
0
1
1:3
0
0
L
Playoffs Qualification Playoffs

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Wellington Phoenix FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Melbourne Victory
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Wellington Phoenix FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Melbourne Victory
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Wellington Phoenix FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Melbourne Victory
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Wellington Phoenix FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Melbourne Victory
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Wellington Phoenix FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Melbourne Victory
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory
75% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
Melbourne Victory to win
46% chance
Melbourne Victory (draw no bet)
61% chance
Wellington Phoenix FC
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Melbourne Victory
Last 10 games
2.3
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Wellington Phoenix FC
Melbourne Victory
A-League
18 Apr 2026 · 06:00
WellingtonW
2-1
WSWestern Sydney Wanderers
A-League
24 Apr 2026 · 10:35
MacarthurM
4-0
WWellington
Goals scored
5
1 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
MV
Melbourne Victory
Australia Cup, Knockout Stage
10 Oct 2026 · 09:35
South MelbourneSM
5-4
MVMelbourne Victory
AFC Champions League Two, Group E
14 Oct 2026 · 08:45
Melbourne VictoryMV
3-0
SSeoul
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game