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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 7
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
14:30Sat
40%
34%
Draw26%

Evenly matched

LLWWL

last 5 games

LLWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn · 15,000 seats
Managers
Ralf Kettemann · Merlin Polzin
Preview

Paderborn are 15th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 4 points from 5 games played.

Hamburger SV are 13th of 18, with 6 points from 5 games played.

Over their last 10, Paderborn scored 1.3 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 30% of those.

Hamburger SV scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Paderborn last played Stuttgart (at home) and lost 0-2.

Hamburger SV last played Hoffenheim (away) and won 3-2.

Head-to-head, Paderborn has 3W 2D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Paderborn
2Win0Draw3Loss
Bundesliga
05 Sep 2026 · 14:30
PaderbornP
0-1
FFreiburg
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
DortmundD
3-0
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 18:30
PaderbornP
3-1
HHoffenheim
Hamburger SV
3Win0Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
06 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
0-5
MMainz
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeipzigL
5-0
HHamburg
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-1
1F1. FC Cologne

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
20.451

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.871.4
71.4132.6
Events
Team

Paderborn conceded in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Hamburger SV over 0.5 goals · 78% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

15 of Hamburg's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Hamburg conceded in 15 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Paderborn over 0.5 goals · 81% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 74% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Paderborn's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Hamburg didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Paderborn or Hamburger SV (no draw) · 74% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Hamburg's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Paderborn and Hamburger SV in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFSC Freiburg
5
4
1
0
14:4
13
2.6
WDWWW
2
BDBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11:4
13
2.6
DWWWW
3
BMBayern Munich
5
3
2
0
16:4
11
2.2
DWWDW
4
BLBayer Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14:8
10
2
WWDWL
5
RLRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15:5
9
1.8
WLWLW
6
FAFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13:8
8
1.6
DLDWW
7
WBWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10:10
8
1.6
DWDWL
8
EFEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10:16
8
1.33
WLDWL
9
FMFSV Mainz
5
2
1
2
13:10
7
1.4
LWLWD
10
S0SV 07 Elversberg
5
2
1
2
8:8
7
1.4
LDLWW
11
1F1. FC Cologne
6
2
1
3
8:11
7
1.17
LWLDL
12
VSVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8:9
6
1.2
WLLWL
13
HSHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5:15
6
1.2
WWLLL
14
S0Schalke 04
5
1
2
2
4:6
5
1
LDWDL
15
SPSC Paderborn 07
5
1
1
3
3:7
4
0.8
LWLLD
16
UBUnion Berlin
5
1
1
3
5:17
4
0.8
WLLLD
17
THTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9:13
3
0.6
LLWLL
18
BMBorussia Monchengladbach
5
0
0
5
7:18
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Paderborn
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Paderborn
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Paderborn
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Paderborn
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Paderborn
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Hamburger SV
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Paderborn or Hamburger SV
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
61% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Paderborn
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Hamburger SV
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Paderborn
  • Out · Bennit Broger (Midfielder) — Other
  • NAOut · Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (Defender) — Injured
  • TGOut · Timur Gayret (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Marcel Hoffmeier (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Sebastian Klaas (Midfielder) — Injured
Hamburger SV
  • PDOut · Patson Daka (Forward) — Injured
  • AGOut · Albert Gronbaek (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Bakery Jatta (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Nicolai Remberg (Midfielder) — Injured
Club Friendly Games
30 Sep 2026 · 00:30
DC UnitedDU
0-1
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
PaderbornP
0-2
SStuttgart
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Club Friendly Games
04 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-0
CCopenhagen
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HoffenheimH
2-3
HHamburg
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
13
2.6 per game