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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 7
Mainz
Werder Bremen
14:30Sat
57%
21%
Draw22%

Mainz are the stronger side

DWLWL

last 5 games

WDWLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Mewa Arena, Mainz · 34,000 seats
Managers
Urs Fischer · Daniel Thioune
Preview

Mainz are 9th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 7 points from 5 games played.

Werder Bremen are 7th of 18, with 8 points from 5 games played.

Over their last 10, Mainz scored 3.2 and conceded 1.4 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Werder Bremen scored 1.9 and conceded 2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Mainz last played Leverkusen (at home) and lost 3-4.

Werder Bremen last played Dortmund (away) and drew 2-2.

Head-to-head, Mainz has 1W 1D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Mainz
2Win1Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
0-0
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
06 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
0-5
MMainz
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
1-3
FFrankfurt
Werder Bremen
2Win2Draw1Loss
Bundesliga
05 Sep 2026 · 14:30
BremenB
3-1
LLeipzig
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 17:30
1. FC Cologne1F
1-1
BBremen
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
BremenB
3-2
AAugsburg

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.251
10.281.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.6102
91.8132.6
Events
Team

15 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Mainz scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceMainz over 1.5 goals · 61% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Mainz won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz to win or over 2.5 goals · 78% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Mainz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Bremen's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Bremen's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Bremen conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 87% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Mainz and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFSC Freiburg
5
4
1
0
14:4
13
2.6
WDWWW
2
BDBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11:4
13
2.6
DWWWW
3
BMBayern Munich
5
3
2
0
16:4
11
2.2
DWWDW
4
BLBayer Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14:8
10
2
WWDWL
5
RLRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15:5
9
1.8
WLWLW
6
FAFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13:8
8
1.6
DLDWW
7
WBWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10:10
8
1.6
DWDWL
8
EFEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10:16
8
1.33
WLDWL
9
FMFSV Mainz
5
2
1
2
13:10
7
1.4
LWLWD
10
S0SV 07 Elversberg
5
2
1
2
8:8
7
1.4
LDLWW
11
1F1. FC Cologne
6
2
1
3
8:11
7
1.17
LWLDL
12
VSVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8:9
6
1.2
WLLWL
13
HSHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5:15
6
1.2
WWLLL
14
S0Schalke 04
5
1
2
2
4:6
5
1
LDWDL
15
SPSC Paderborn 07
5
1
1
3
3:7
4
0.8
LWLLD
16
UBUnion Berlin
5
1
1
3
5:17
4
0.8
WLLLD
17
THTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9:13
3
0.6
LLWLL
18
BMBorussia Monchengladbach
5
0
0
5
7:18
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Mainz vs Werder Bremen: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Mainz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Mainz
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Mainz
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Werder Bremen
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Mainz (draw no bet)
73% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: Yes
60% chance
Best value
Mainz to win
57% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
60% chance
Mainz
Last 10 games
3.2
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Werder Bremen
Last 10 games
1.9
scored a game
2
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Mainz
  • Out · Dominik Kohr (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Robin Zentner (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • OROut · Otto Ruoppi (Midfielder) — Injured
  • SKOut · Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Forward) — Injured
Werder Bremen
  • Out · Felix Agu (Defender) — Injured
  • KTOut · Keke Topp (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Jens Stage (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Justin Njinmah (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Moussa N’Diaye (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Senne Lynen (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Salim Musah (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Skelly Alvero (Midfielder) — Injured
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
M´gladbachM
3-4
MMainz
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
3-4
LLeverkusen
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 12:00
EnschedeE
7-0
BBremen
Bundesliga
09 Oct 2026 · 19:30
DortmundD
2-2
BBremen
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
13
2.6 per game