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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 6
Schalke
Mainz
14:30Sat
32%
42%
Draw26%

Mainz are the stronger side

WDWWL

last 5 games

DWLWL

last 5 games

Stadium
VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen · 62,271 seats
Referee
Richard Hempel (Germany)
Managers
Miron Muslic · Urs Fischer
Preview

Schalke are 14th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 5 points from 5 games played.

Mainz are 9th of 18, with 7 points from 5 games played.

Over their last 10, Schalke scored 1.5 and conceded 1.6 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Mainz scored 3.2 and conceded 1.4 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Schalke last played Freiburg (away) and lost 1-2.

Mainz last played Leverkusen (at home) and lost 3-4.

Head-to-head, Schalke has 3W 3D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Schalke
3Win1Draw1Loss
Bundesliga
11 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Union BerlinUB
1-3
SSchalke
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 16:30
SchalkeS
0-0
EElversberg
Club Friendly Games
24 Sep 2026 · 18:00
OberhausenO
2-5
SSchalke
Mainz
2Win1Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
0-0
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
06 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
0-5
MMainz
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
1-3
FFrankfurt

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
61.251

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10251
132.6102
Events
Team

Schalke didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Schalke or Mainz (no draw) · 74% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Schalke's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Schalke's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Mainz scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz over 0.5 goals · 81% chanceMainz over 1.5 goals · 49% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Mainz won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Mainz to win or over 2.5 goals · 72% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Mainz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Schalke didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 matches

Schalke or Mainz (no draw) · 74% chance
13 / 15
No draws

13 of Schalke's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Schalke and Mainz in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFSC Freiburg
5
4
1
0
14:4
13
2.6
WDWWW
2
BDBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11:4
13
2.6
DWWWW
3
BMBayern Munich
5
3
2
0
16:4
11
2.2
DWWDW
4
BLBayer Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14:8
10
2
WWDWL
5
RLRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15:5
9
1.8
WLWLW
6
FAFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13:8
8
1.6
DLDWW
7
WBWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10:10
8
1.6
DWDWL
8
EFEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10:16
8
1.33
WLDWL
9
FMFSV Mainz
5
2
1
2
13:10
7
1.4
LWLWD
10
S0SV 07 Elversberg
5
2
1
2
8:8
7
1.4
LDLWW
11
1F1. FC Cologne
6
2
1
3
8:11
7
1.17
LWLDL
12
VSVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8:9
6
1.2
WLLWL
13
HSHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5:15
6
1.2
WWLLL
14
S0Schalke 04
5
1
2
2
4:6
5
1
LDWDL
15
SPSC Paderborn 07
5
1
1
3
3:7
4
0.8
LWLLD
16
UBUnion Berlin
5
1
1
3
5:17
4
0.8
WLLLD
17
THTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9:13
3
0.6
LLWLL
18
BMBorussia Monchengladbach
5
0
0
5
7:18
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Schalke vs Mainz: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Schalke
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Mainz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Schalke
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Schalke
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Mainz
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Schalke
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Mainz
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Schalke
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Mainz
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Schalke or Mainz
73% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
63% chance
both teams to score: Yes
62% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
63% chance
Mainz (draw no bet)
57% chance
Schalke
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Mainz
Last 10 games
3.2
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Schalke
  • Out · Dejan Ljubicic (Midfielder) — Injured
  • EHOut · Emil Hojlund (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Moussa Sylla (Forward) — Injured
Mainz
  • Out · Dominik Kohr (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Robin Zentner (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • OROut · Otto Ruoppi (Midfielder) — Injured
  • SKOut · Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Forward) — Injured
Club Friendly Games
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00
LustenauL
0-1
SSchalke
Bundesliga
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
FreiburgF
2-1
SSchalke
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
M´gladbachM
3-4
MMainz
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
MainzM
3-4
LLeverkusen
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game