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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 6
Hamburger SV
Stuttgart
14:30Sat
24%
53%
Draw23%

Stuttgart are the stronger side

LLWWW

last 5 games

LWWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg · 57,000 seats
Referee
Robert Hartmann (Germany)
Managers
Merlin Polzin · Sebastian Hoeness
Preview

Hamburger SV are 13th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 6 points from 5 games played.

Stuttgart are 12th of 18, with 6 points from 5 games played.

Over their last 10, Hamburger SV scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Stuttgart scored 2.6 and conceded 1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Hamburger SV last played Hoffenheim (away) and won 3-2.

Stuttgart last played Slovan Bratislava (away) and won 3-0.

Head-to-head, Hamburger SV has 1W 0D 5L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Hamburger SV
3Win0Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
06 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
0-5
MMainz
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeipzigL
5-0
HHamburg
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-1
1F1. FC Cologne
Stuttgart
4Win0Draw1Loss
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 17:30
StuttgartS
0-1
DDortmund
Club Friendly Games
25 Sep 2026 · 15:30
StuttgartS
3-0
HHeidenheim
Club Friendly Games
01 Oct 2026 · 16:30
StuttgartS
5-0
GFGreuther Furth

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.451
61.200

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.4132.6
132.610.2
Events
Team

15 of Hamburg's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 87% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Hamburg conceded in 15 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Stuttgart over 0.5 goals · 88% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

15 of Stuttgart's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 86% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Stuttgart's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Bundesliga

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 86% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Hamburg didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Hamburger SV or Stuttgart (no draw) · 77% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Hamburg's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 87% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Hamburg drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 81% chance
14 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Hamburg conceded in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Bundesliga

Stuttgart over 0.5 goals · 88% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Hamburger SV and Stuttgart in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFSC Freiburg
5
4
1
0
14:4
13
2.6
WDWWW
2
BDBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11:4
13
2.6
DWWWW
3
BMBayern Munich
5
3
2
0
16:4
11
2.2
DWWDW
4
BLBayer Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14:8
10
2
WWDWL
5
RLRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15:5
9
1.8
WLWLW
6
FAFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13:8
8
1.6
DLDWW
7
WBWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10:10
8
1.6
DWDWL
8
EFEintracht Frankfurt
6
2
2
2
10:16
8
1.33
WLDWL
9
FMFSV Mainz
5
2
1
2
13:10
7
1.4
LWLWD
10
S0SV 07 Elversberg
5
2
1
2
8:8
7
1.4
LDLWW
11
1F1. FC Cologne
6
2
1
3
8:11
7
1.17
LWLDL
12
VSVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8:9
6
1.2
WLLWL
13
HSHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5:15
6
1.2
WWLLL
14
S0Schalke 04
5
1
2
2
4:6
5
1
LDWDL
15
SPSC Paderborn 07
5
1
1
3
3:7
4
0.8
LWLLD
16
UBUnion Berlin
5
1
1
3
5:17
4
0.8
WLLLD
17
THTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9:13
3
0.6
LLWLL
18
BMBorussia Monchengladbach
5
0
0
5
7:18
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Hamburger SV
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Stuttgart
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Hamburger SV
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Stuttgart
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Hamburger SV
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Stuttgart
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Hamburger SV
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Stuttgart
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Hamburger SV
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Stuttgart
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
draw or Stuttgart
77% chance
Stuttgart (draw no bet)
70% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
68% chance
Best value
Stuttgart to win
54% chance
Stuttgart (draw no bet)
70% chance
Hamburger SV
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Stuttgart
Last 10 games
2.6
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Hamburger SV
  • PDOut · Patson Daka (Forward) — Injured
  • AGOut · Albert Gronbaek (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Bakery Jatta (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Nicolai Remberg (Midfielder) — Injured
Stuttgart
  • Out · Maximilian Mittelstadt (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Nikolas Nartey (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Ameen Al-Dakhil (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Tiago Tomas (Forward) — Injured
  • JDOut · Justin Diehl (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Dan Zagadou (Defender) — Injured
Club Friendly Games
04 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HamburgH
2-0
CCopenhagen
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
HoffenheimH
2-3
HHamburg
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
13
2.6 per game
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
PaderbornP
0-2
SStuttgart
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Slovan BratislavaSB
0-3
SStuttgart
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
1
0.2 per game