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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 6
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
14:30Sat
18%
61%
Draw21%

Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side

LLLWW

last 5 games

WWWDL

last 5 games

Stadium
An der alten Forsterei, Berlin · 22,012 seats
Referee
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Managers
Mauro Lustrinelli · Niko Kovac
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 5.50→5.80 (+5.5%)
Preview

Union Berlin are 16th of 18 in Bundesliga, with 4 points from 5 games played.

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd of 18, with 13 points from 5 games played.

Over their last 10, Union Berlin scored 1.5 and conceded 2.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Borussia Dortmund scored 2.2 and conceded 1.1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Union Berlin last played Elversberg (at home) and won 1-0.

Borussia Dortmund last played Bodoe/Glimt (away) and lost 0-1.

Head-to-head, Union Berlin has 1W 0D 5L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Union Berlin
2Win0Draw3Loss
Bundesliga
05 Sep 2026 · 14:30
LeverkusenL
4-0
UBUnion Berlin
Bundesliga
11 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Union BerlinUB
1-3
SSchalke
Bundesliga
18 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Bayern MunichBM
7-0
UBUnion Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
3Win1Draw1Loss
UEFA Champions League
08 Sep 2026 · 20:00
DortmundD
3-2
VVillarreal
Bundesliga
12 Sep 2026 · 14:30
DortmundD
3-0
PPaderborn
Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026 · 17:30
StuttgartS
0-1
DDortmund

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10.261.2
10.200

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.6142.8
91.851
Events
Team

15 of Union Berlin's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Bundesliga

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 84% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Dortmund didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund (no draw) · 79% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Union Berlin scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Union Berlin over 0.5 goals · 67% chanceUnion Berlin over 1.5 goals · 30% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Union Berlin's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Union Berlin's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Union Berlin won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches in Bundesliga

Union Berlin to win or over 2.5 goals · 70% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Dortmund's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 84% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Dortmund scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Borussia Dortmund over 0.5 goals · 88% chanceBorussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals · 64% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFSC Freiburg
5
4
1
0
14:4
13
2.6
WDWWW
2
BDBorussia Dortmund
5
4
1
0
11:4
13
2.6
DWWWW
3
BMBayern Munich
5
3
2
0
16:4
11
2.2
DWWDW
4
BLBayer Leverkusen
5
3
1
1
14:8
10
2
WWDWL
5
RLRB Leipzig
5
3
0
2
15:5
9
1.8
WLWLW
6
FAFC Augsburg
5
2
2
1
13:8
8
1.6
DLDWW
7
WBWerder Bremen
5
2
2
1
10:10
8
1.6
DWDWL
8
FMFSV Mainz
5
2
1
2
13:10
7
1.4
LWLWD
9
S0SV 07 Elversberg
5
2
1
2
8:8
7
1.4
LDLWW
10
1F1. FC Cologne
5
2
1
2
8:10
7
1.4
WLDLW
11
VSVfB Stuttgart
5
2
0
3
8:9
6
1.2
WLLWL
12
HSHamburger SV
5
2
0
3
5:15
6
1.2
WWLLL
13
S0Schalke 04
5
1
2
2
4:6
5
1
LDWDL
14
EFEintracht Frankfurt
5
1
2
2
9:16
5
1
LDWLD
15
SPSC Paderborn 07
5
1
1
3
3:7
4
0.8
LWLLD
16
UBUnion Berlin
5
1
1
3
5:17
4
0.8
WLLLD
17
THTSG Hoffenheim
5
1
0
4
9:13
3
0.6
LLWLL
18
BMBorussia Monchengladbach
5
0
0
5
7:18
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Union Berlin
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Borussia Dortmund
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Union Berlin
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Borussia Dortmund
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Union Berlin
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Borussia Dortmund
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Union Berlin
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Borussia Dortmund
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Union Berlin
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Borussia Dortmund
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)
76% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
63% chance
Borussia Dortmund to win
60% chance
Best value
Borussia Dortmund to win
60% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
58% chance
Union Berlin
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
2.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Borussia Dortmund
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Union Berlin
  • Out · Stanley Nsoki (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Josip Juranovic (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Andrik Markgraf (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Andrej Ilic (Forward) — Injured
  • MFOut · Marvin Friedrich (Defender) — Injured
Borussia Dortmund
  • Out · Justin Lerma (Midfielder) — Injured
  • ECOut · Emre Can (Midfielder) — Injured
  • GKOut · Giannis Konstantelias (Midfielder) — Injured
Club Friendly Games
26 Sep 2026 · 18:15
RijekaR
0-1
UBUnion Berlin
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 14:30
Union BerlinUB
1-0
EElversberg
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
14
2.8 per game
Bundesliga
09 Oct 2026 · 19:30
DortmundD
2-2
BBremen
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Bodoe/GlimtB
1-0
DDortmund
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game