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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

LaLiga · Round 9
Real Madrid
Sevilla
20:00Sun
78%
8%
Draw14%

Real Madrid are the stronger side

WWLWW

last 5 games

WWLLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid · 83,186 seats
Managers
Jose Mourinho · Luis Garcia
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Double Chance: Draw or Away 4.25→3.60 (-15.3%)
Preview

Real Madrid are 4th of 20 in LaLiga, with 18 points from 8 games played.

Sevilla are 5th of 20, with 14 points from 8 games played.

Over their last 10, Real Madrid scored 2.5 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Sevilla scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Real Madrid last played Roma (away) and won 4-3.

Sevilla last played Levante (away) and drew 3-3.

Head-to-head, Real Madrid has 5W 1D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Real Madrid
4Win0Draw1Loss
LaLiga
12 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
4-1
VVallecano
LaLiga
15 Sep 2026 · 20:30
ElcheE
2-3
RMReal Madrid
LaLiga
20 Sep 2026 · 15:15
AtleticoA
2-1
RMReal Madrid
Sevilla
2Win1Draw2Loss
LaLiga
11 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SevillaS
1-0
VValencia
LaLiga
16 Sep 2026 · 18:00
DeportivoD
0-1
SSevilla
LaLiga
19 Sep 2026 · 20:00
SevillaS
1-3
BBarcelona

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.210.2
20.410.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.681.6
71.491.8
Events
Team

Real Madrid didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid or Sevilla (no draw) · 87% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Real Madrid scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid over 0.5 goals · 93% chanceReal Madrid over 1.5 goals · 75% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Real Madrid's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Real Madrid won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

Real Madrid to win or over 2.5 goals · 87% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Real Madrid scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Real Madrid over 0.5 goals · 93% chanceReal Madrid over 1.5 goals · 75% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Real Madrid didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Real Madrid or Sevilla (no draw) · 87% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Sevilla scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Sevilla over 0.5 goals · 54% chanceSevilla over 1.5 goals · 18% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Sevilla's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in LaLiga

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Real Madrid and Sevilla in LaLiga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
FBFC Barcelona
8
8
0
0
34:7
24
3
WWWWW
2
AMAtletico Madrid
8
6
1
1
18:8
19
2.38
WWWWL
3
RBReal Betis Seville
8
6
1
1
14:9
19
2.38
WDWWW
4
RMReal Madrid
8
6
0
2
19:8
18
2.25
WLWWL
5
SFSevilla FC
8
4
2
2
13:12
14
1.75
DLWWD
6
RSReal Sociedad San Sebastian
8
4
1
3
12:15
13
1.62
WWLWD
7
DADeportivo Alaves
8
3
2
3
12:8
11
1.38
LDLLW
8
RDRC Deportivo de A Coruna
9
2
5
2
13:12
11
1.22
DLDLD
9
RCRC Celta de Vigo
8
1
5
2
8:6
8
1
DWDDD
10
ABAthletic Bilbao
6
2
2
2
7:6
8
1.33
DDWWL
11
VCVillarreal CF
8
2
2
4
13:13
8
1
LWWLL
12
EBEspanyol Barcelona
8
2
2
4
11:11
8
1
DLLWD
13
RVRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
11:16
8
1.14
DWLWL
14
GCGetafe CF
8
2
2
4
4:10
8
1
LWLDD
15
RSRacing Santander
8
2
2
4
13:23
8
1
DLLWL
16
COCA Osasuna
8
2
2
4
8:18
8
1
LDLLL
17
LULevante UD
8
1
4
3
12:16
7
0.88
DDLLD
18
ECElche CF
8
1
3
4
11:17
6
0.75
DWLDL
19
VCValencia CF
8
1
2
5
6:15
5
0.62
DLWLL
20
MCMalaga CF
8
0
4
4
4:13
4
0.5
DLLDD
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Real Madrid
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Sevilla
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Sevilla
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Real Madrid
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Sevilla
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Real Madrid
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Sevilla
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Real Madrid
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Sevilla
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Real Madrid to win
77% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
67% chance
both teams to score: Yes
50% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
54% chance
Real Madrid to win
77% chance
Real Madrid
Last 10 games
2.5
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Sevilla
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Real Madrid
  • Out · Raul Asencio (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Eder Militao (Defender) — Injured
  • ROut · Rodrygo (Forward) — Injured
Sevilla
  • MOut · Marcao (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Jon Guridi (Midfielder) — Injured
  • MAOut · Miguel Angel Sierra (Forward) — Injured
LaLiga
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
1-0
VVillarreal
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
RomaR
3-4
RMReal Madrid
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 19:30
SevillaS
1-3
AVAston Villa
LaLiga
12 Oct 2026 · 20:00
LevanteL
3-3
SSevilla
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game