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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Bundesliga · Round 10
Sturm Graz
SV Ried
14:30Sun
53%
24%
Draw23%

Sturm Graz are the stronger side

WDLWL

last 5 games

WDWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Merkur Arena, Graz · 16,364 seats
Managers
Fabio Ingolitsch · Mario Despotovic
Preview

Sturm Graz are 5th of 12 in Bundesliga 26/27, with 14 points from 8 games played.

SV Ried are 4th of 12, with 14 points from 9 games played.

Over their last 10, Sturm Graz scored 1.1 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

SV Ried scored 2.1 and conceded 1.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 90%.

Sturm Graz last played Bournemouth (away) and lost 0-3.

SV Ried last played Austria (at home) and won 3-2.

Head-to-head, Sturm Graz has 4W 2D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Sturm Graz
2Win1Draw2Loss
Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026 · 16:00
Sturm GrazSG
2-1
LLASK
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Sturm GrazSG
0-0
SRStade Rennais
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SalzburgS
3-0
SGSturm Graz
SV Ried
4Win1Draw0Loss
OFB Cup
04 Sep 2026 · 18:00
Wallern/St. MarienkirchenWM
1-5
RRied
Bundesliga
11 Sep 2026 · 18:30
RiedR
1-1
SSalzburg
Bundesliga
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
RiedR
4-1
WWolfsberg

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.420.4
112.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.871.4
15361.2
Events
Team

15 of Sturm Graz's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Ried's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Ried's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 75% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Ried scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

SV Ried over 0.5 goals · 71% chanceSV Ried over 1.5 goals · 34% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Ried drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Ried scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

SV Ried over 0.5 goals · 71% chanceSV Ried over 1.5 goals · 34% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Ried conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Sturm Graz over 0.5 goals · 85% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Sturm Graz's last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 62% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Sturm Graz and SV Ried in Bundesliga

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SRSK Rapid
9
8
0
1
26:8
24
2.67
WWWWL
2
LLLASK Linz
9
6
1
2
23:9
19
2.11
WLDLW
3
FSFC Salzburg
8
5
3
0
18:4
18
2.25
DWDWW
4
SRSV Ried
9
4
2
3
16:15
14
1.56
WWWDL
5
SSSK Sturm Graz
8
4
2
2
10:9
14
1.75
WLWLD
6
THTSV Hartberg
9
3
2
4
15:19
11
1.22
LWDDW
7
GAGrazer AK 1902
8
2
3
3
6:16
9
1.12
DDWDL
8
WTWSG Tirol
8
2
2
4
10:14
8
1
LLDWW
9
ALAustria Lustenau
9
2
2
5
11:19
8
0.89
LLWLL
10
FAFK Austria Wien
9
2
1
6
9:18
7
0.78
LLDWL
11
SASCR Altach
8
2
0
6
8:12
6
0.75
WLLLL
12
WAWolfsberger AC
8
1
2
5
7:16
5
0.62
LLLLD
Championship round Relegation Round

Sturm Graz vs SV Ried: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Sturm Graz
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
SV Ried
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Sturm Graz
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
SV Ried
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Sturm Graz
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
SV Ried
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Sturm Graz
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
SV Ried
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Sturm Graz
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
SV Ried
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
69% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Best value
Sturm Graz (draw no bet)
69% chance
Sturm Graz to win
53% chance
Sturm Graz
Last 10 games
1.1
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
SV Ried
Last 10 games
2.1
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Sturm Graz

Nobody listed.

SV Ried

Nobody listed.

Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 18:30
AustriaA
0-2
SGSturm Graz
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BournemouthB
3-0
SGSturm Graz
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Bundesliga
10 Oct 2026 · 16:00
TirolT
1-2
RRied
Bundesliga
17 Oct 2026 · 18:30
RiedR
3-2
AAustria
Goals scored
15
3 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game