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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

League Two · Round 12
Rotherham United
Newport County
19:45Tue
45%
28%
Draw27%

Rotherham United are the stronger side

DLLLL

last 5 games

WDLWD

last 5 games

Stadium
AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham · 12,021 seats
Managers
Alex Bruce · Hayden Mullins
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Home 2.00→2.10 (+5%), 1X2: Away 3.50→3.33 (-4.9%), Draw No Bet: Away 2.50→2.40 (-4%), Draw No Bet: Home 1.49→1.54 (+3.4%)
Preview

Rotherham United are 23rd of 24 in League Two 26/27, with 10 points from 11 games played.

Newport County are 11th of 24, with 14 points from 11 games played.

Over their last 10, Rotherham United scored 1.4 and conceded 2.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Newport County scored 1.4 and conceded 1.3 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Rotherham United last played Fleetwood (away) and lost 0-2.

Newport County last played York (at home) and drew 1-1.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

Rotherham United

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

0Win1Draw4Loss
League Two
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00
RotherhamR
1-1
CCrewe
League Two
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
ExeterE
1-0
RRotherham
EFL Trophy, Northern Group C
06 Oct 2026 · 19:00
RotherhamR
0-4
BBradford
Newport County
2Win2Draw1Loss
League Two
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00
NewportN
2-1
GGrimsby
League Two
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
GillinghamG
0-0
NNewport
EFL Trophy, Southern Group E
06 Oct 2026 · 19:00
NewportN
6-7
PPlymouth

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.440.8
10.210.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.4122.4
10291.8
Events
Team

15 of Newport's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 78% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Rotherham conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches

Newport County over 0.5 goals · 69% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

Rotherham haven't won in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Newport County or draw · 55% chance
14 / 15
Winless

14 of Newport's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half in League Two

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 78% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Rotherham's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

13 of Rotherham's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 69% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Rotherham conceded in 13 of their last 15 home matches

Newport County over 0.5 goals · 69% chance
13 / 15
Goals conceded

Rotherham drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 70% chance
13 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Rotherham United and Newport County in League Two

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SCSalford City
11
7
1
3
17:11
22
2
WWWWW
2
BFBarnet FC
9
6
3
0
22:12
21
2.33
WWWWD
3
CACrewe Alexandra
11
5
6
0
15:9
21
1.91
WWWDD
4
YCYork City FC
10
4
4
2
18:12
16
1.6
DDWLW
5
WFWalsall FC
10
3
7
0
13:7
16
1.6
DDDWD
6
GFGillingham FC
11
4
4
3
16:13
16
1.45
LWDLW
7
CFChesterfield FC
11
4
3
4
17:15
15
1.36
LDWLW
8
CTCheltenham Town
11
4
3
4
17:20
15
1.36
LLLWD
9
BRBristol Rovers
11
5
0
6
15:18
15
1.36
LLLWL
10
ASAccrington Stanley
11
3
5
3
16:15
14
1.27
WDWDD
11
NCNewport County
11
3
5
3
14:13
14
1.27
DWDWD
12
FTFleetwood Town
11
3
5
3
12:11
14
1.27
WDLLL
13
RARochdale AFC
11
4
2
5
13:15
14
1.27
LDWWW
14
STShrewsbury Town
11
4
2
5
10:15
14
1.27
WLWDD
15
GTGrimsby Town
11
3
4
4
13:13
13
1.18
LLLLW
16
ECExeter City
11
3
4
4
6:6
13
1.18
DWWLD
17
TRTranmere Rovers FC
11
2
6
3
14:15
12
1.09
LDLDD
18
STSwindon Town
11
3
3
5
10:15
12
1.09
DLLDL
19
OAOldham Athletic
10
3
2
5
13:14
11
1.1
WDLLL
20
CUColchester United
10
2
5
3
10:13
11
1.1
DLDDD
21
PVPort Vale
9
3
2
4
5:9
11
1.22
WWLWL
22
NTNorthampton Town
9
2
4
3
6:7
10
1.11
WDLLW
23
RURotherham United
11
2
4
5
12:18
10
0.91
LLLDW
24
CTCrawley Town
9
1
2
6
9:17
5
0.56
LDLLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation

Rotherham United vs Newport County: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Rotherham United
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Newport County
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Rotherham United
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Newport County
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Rotherham United
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Newport County
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Rotherham United
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Newport County
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Rotherham United
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Newport County
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 1.5 · total goals
73% chance
Rotherham United or draw
72% chance
Rotherham United (draw no bet)
62% chance
Best value
Rotherham United (draw no bet)
62% chance
Under 2.5 · total goals
51% chance
Rotherham United
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
2.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Newport County
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Rotherham United

Nobody listed.

Newport County

Nobody listed.

League Two
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
RotherhamR
1-4
GGillingham
League Two
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30
FleetwoodF
2-0
RRotherham
Goals scored
2
0.4 per game
Goals conceded
12
2.4 per game
League Two
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
NewportN
1-0
CColchester
League Two
17 Oct 2026 · 15:00
NewportN
1-1
YYork
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game