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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

League Two · Round 11
Port Vale
Chesterfield FC
15:00Sat
32%
39%
Draw29%

Evenly matched

WLLWW

last 5 games

WWLWD

last 5 games

Stadium
Vale Park, Stoke · 19,052 seats
Managers
Jon Brady · Paul Cook
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 3.70→3.20 (-13.5%), Over/Under: Over 2.5 1.84→2.05 (+11.4%), Over/Under: Under 2.5 1.93→1.74 (-9.8%), Over/Under: Under 3.5 1.37→1.28 (-6.6%)
Preview

Port Vale are 22nd of 24 in League Two 26/27, with 8 points from 8 games played.

Chesterfield FC are 7th of 24, with 15 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Port Vale scored 1 and conceded 1.4 a game on average, and both teams scored in 30% of those.

Chesterfield FC scored 2.6 and conceded 2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 90%.

Port Vale last played Grimsby (at home) and won 1-0.

Chesterfield FC last played Crawley (away) and drew 2-2.

Head-to-head, Port Vale has 3W 1D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Port Vale
3Win0Draw2Loss
League Two
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
Port ValePV
1-0
EExeter
League Two
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
WalsallW
2-0
PVPort Vale
EFL Trophy, Northern Group D
22 Sep 2026 · 19:00
ChesterfieldC
5-4
PVPort Vale
Chesterfield FC
3Win1Draw1Loss
League Two
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
ChesterfieldC
2-0
YYork
EFL Trophy, Northern Group D
22 Sep 2026 · 19:00
ChesterfieldC
5-4
PVPort Vale
League Two
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00
CheltenhamC
2-1
CChesterfield

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.610.2
20.430.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.671.4
142.8102
Events
Team

Port Vale didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Port Vale or Chesterfield FC (no draw) · 71% chance
15 / 15
No draws

14 of Port Vale's last 15 home matches had under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals · 55% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -2.5

14 of Port Vale's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

14 of Port Vale's last 15 home matches had under 1.5 goals in the 1st half

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half · 70% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: -1.5

14 of Port Vale's last 15 home matches saw a team fail to score

Both teams to score: No · 49% chance
14 / 15
Both teams to score: No

14 of Port Vale's last 15 home matches had under 1.5 goals in the 2nd half

Under 1.5 goals in the 2nd half · 59% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: -1.5

14 of Chesterfield's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half in League Two

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 66% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Port Vale didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 matches

Port Vale or Chesterfield FC (no draw) · 71% chance
13 / 15
No draws

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Port Vale and Chesterfield FC in League Two

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SCSalford City
10
6
1
3
15:10
19
1.9
WWWWD
2
BFBarnet FC
8
5
3
0
20:11
18
2.25
WWWDD
3
CACrewe Alexandra
10
4
6
0
12:7
18
1.8
WWDDD
4
GFGillingham FC
10
4
4
2
15:10
16
1.6
WDLWW
5
YCYork City FC
9
4
3
2
17:11
15
1.67
DWLWD
6
WFWalsall FC
9
3
6
0
12:6
15
1.67
DDWDD
7
CFChesterfield FC
10
4
3
3
17:14
15
1.5
DWLWW
8
CTCheltenham Town
10
4
3
3
16:16
15
1.5
LLWDW
9
BRBristol Rovers
10
5
0
5
15:17
15
1.5
LLWLL
10
RARochdale AFC
10
4
2
4
11:12
14
1.4
DWWWD
11
GTGrimsby Town
10
3
4
3
13:11
13
1.3
LLLWW
12
NCNewport County
10
3
4
3
13:12
13
1.3
WDWDD
13
TRTranmere Rovers FC
10
2
6
2
13:13
12
1.2
DLDDL
14
ECExeter City
10
3
3
4
6:6
12
1.2
WWLDL
15
ASAccrington Stanley
10
2
5
3
13:14
11
1.1
DWDDL
16
FTFleetwood Town
10
2
5
3
10:11
11
1.1
DLLLD
17
STSwindon Town
10
3
2
5
9:14
11
1.1
LLDLL
18
STShrewsbury Town
10
3
2
5
9:15
11
1.1
LWDDW
19
CUColchester United
9
2
4
3
10:13
10
1.11
LDDDL
20
RURotherham United
10
2
4
4
12:16
10
1
LLDWD
21
OAOldham Athletic
9
2
2
5
9:13
8
0.89
DLLLL
22
PVPort Vale
8
2
2
4
4:9
8
1
WLWLL
23
NTNorthampton Town
8
1
4
3
4:7
7
0.88
DLLWD
24
CTCrawley Town
8
1
2
5
8:15
5
0.62
DLLLD
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation

Port Vale vs Chesterfield FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Port Vale
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Chesterfield FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Port Vale
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Chesterfield FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Port Vale
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Chesterfield FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Port Vale
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Chesterfield FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Port Vale
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Chesterfield FC
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
74% chance
Port Vale or Chesterfield FC
71% chance
Chesterfield FC (draw no bet)
54% chance
Best value
Over 1.5 · total goals
72% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
74% chance
Port Vale
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals20% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Chesterfield FC
Last 10 games
2.6
scored a game
2
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Port Vale

Nobody listed.

Chesterfield FC

Nobody listed.

EFL Trophy, Northern Group D
06 Oct 2026 · 19:00
Port ValePV
2-0
MMansfield
League Two
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Port ValePV
1-0
GGrimsby
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
League Two
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30
ChesterfieldC
4-2
TTranmere
League Two
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
CrawleyC
2-2
CChesterfield
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game