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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Championship · Round 11
Southampton
Bolton Wanderers
15:00Sat
69%
14%
Draw17%

Southampton are the stronger side

WWLWW

last 5 games

LWWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton · 32,384 seats
Referee
Matt Donohue (England)
Managers
Tonda Eckert · Steven Schumacher
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 6.55→5.54 (-15.4%)
Preview

Southampton are 7th of 24 in Championship 26/27, with 16 points from 10 games played.

Bolton Wanderers are 14th of 24, with 13 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Southampton scored 2.1 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 80% of those.

Bolton Wanderers scored 1.5 and conceded 1.8 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Southampton last played Norwich (away) and won 1-0.

Bolton Wanderers last played Wolverhampton (away) and won 3-1.

Head-to-head, Southampton has 0W 2D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Southampton
4Win0Draw1Loss
Championship
08 Sep 2026 · 19:45
SouthamptonS
3-1
SSwansea
Championship
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
SouthamptonS
4-1
BCBristol City
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
WrexhamW
2-1
SSouthampton
Bolton Wanderers
3Win0Draw2Loss
Championship
08 Sep 2026 · 20:00
BoltonB
2-3
WHWest Ham
Championship
12 Sep 2026 · 12:30
BoltonB
1-0
CCardiff
Championship
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30
NorwichN
3-4
BBolton

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.810.2
5151

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10240.8
112.291.8
Events
Team

Southampton scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Southampton over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceSouthampton over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Southampton scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Southampton over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceSouthampton over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Southampton won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Southampton to win or over 2.5 goals · 84% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Southampton haven't lost in 15 of their last 15 home matches in Championship

Southampton or draw · 86% chance
15 / 15
Unbeaten

Southampton haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Southampton or draw · 86% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

14 of Southampton's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 79% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

Southampton scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Southampton over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceSouthampton over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Southampton scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in Championship

Southampton over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceSouthampton over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Southampton and Bolton Wanderers in Championship

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SCSwansea City
10
7
2
1
16:7
23
2.3
WWWWL
2
MFMiddlesbrough FC
10
6
3
1
20:14
21
2.1
WWDDW
3
WHWest Ham United
10
5
4
1
29:12
19
1.9
WDDWW
4
BCBirmingham City
10
4
5
1
17:11
17
1.7
WWDWL
5
QPQueens Park Rangers
10
4
5
1
15:9
17
1.7
WDDDD
6
WBWest Bromwich Albion
10
5
2
3
12:10
17
1.7
WLLDW
7
SFSouthampton FC
10
6
2
2
21:10
16
1.6
WWLWW
8
SCStoke City
10
5
1
4
17:16
16
1.6
LWWWD
9
BRBlackburn Rovers
10
4
3
3
15:13
15
1.5
WWDWL
10
WWWolverhampton Wanderers
9
4
2
3
16:14
14
1.56
LLWWD
11
MFMillwall FC
10
4
2
4
16:16
14
1.4
LWDDL
12
BCBristol City
10
4
2
4
12:14
14
1.4
LDWLL
13
CACharlton Athletic
10
3
5
2
10:13
14
1.4
DDLDD
14
BWBolton Wanderers
10
4
1
5
15:18
13
1.3
WLWWL
15
SUSheffield United
10
3
3
4
14:14
12
1.2
LWLLW
16
PFPortsmouth FC
9
3
2
4
12:13
11
1.22
WLDDW
17
WAWrexham AFC
10
2
5
3
11:15
11
1.1
LDWLD
18
LCLincoln City
10
3
2
5
7:17
11
1.1
LLLWW
19
CCCardiff City
10
2
4
4
16:15
10
1
WLWLD
20
NCNorwich City
10
3
0
7
17:20
9
0.9
LLLLW
21
BFBurnley FC
10
1
5
4
15:19
8
0.8
DWDLD
22
WFWatford FC
10
2
2
6
8:19
8
0.8
LLLLW
23
DCDerby County
10
1
3
6
9:19
6
0.6
LDDLL
24
PNPreston North End
10
1
1
8
8:20
4
0.4
LLDLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Qualification Playoffs Relegation

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Southampton
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Bolton Wanderers
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Southampton
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Bolton Wanderers
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Southampton
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Bolton Wanderers
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Southampton
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Bolton Wanderers
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Southampton
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Bolton Wanderers
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
66% chance
Southampton to win
64% chance
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Best value
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
56% chance
Southampton
Last 10 games
2.1
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Bolton Wanderers
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Southampton

Nobody listed.

Bolton Wanderers

Nobody listed.

Championship
11 Oct 2026 · 12:00
SouthamptonS
1-0
PPortsmouth
Championship
14 Oct 2026 · 19:45
NorwichN
0-1
SSouthampton
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
BoltonB
1-2
SStoke
Championship
13 Oct 2026 · 19:45
WolverhamptonW
1-3
BBolton
Goals scored
11
2.2 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game