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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Championship · Round 11
Middlesbrough FC
Cardiff City
12:30Sat
64%
18%
Draw18%

Middlesbrough FC are the stronger side

WDDWW

last 5 games

DLWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Riverside, Middlesbrough · 34,742 seats
Referee
Tom Nield (England)
Managers
Kim Hellberg · Brian Barry-Murphy
Preview

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd of 24 in Championship 26/27, with 21 points from 10 games played.

Cardiff City are 19th of 24, with 10 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Middlesbrough FC scored 2 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Cardiff City scored 1.6 and conceded 1.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Middlesbrough FC last played Stoke (away) and won 3-2.

Cardiff City last played Watford (at home) and won 5-1.

Head-to-head, Middlesbrough FC has 4W 1D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Middlesbrough FC
3Win2Draw0Loss
Championship
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
MiddlesbroughM
4-3
NNorwich
Championship
15 Sep 2026 · 19:45
MiddlesbroughM
2-2
MMillwall
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
BirminghamB
2-2
MMiddlesbrough
Cardiff City
2Win1Draw2Loss
Championship
08 Sep 2026 · 19:45
CardiffC
1-1
SStoke
Championship
12 Sep 2026 · 12:30
BoltonB
1-0
CCardiff
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
CardiffC
3-1
CCharlton

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.830.6
61.240.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
122.491.8
10261.2
Events
Team

Cardiff conceded in 15 of their last 15 matches

Middlesbrough FC over 0.5 goals · 91% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Middlesbrough scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Middlesbrough FC over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceMiddlesbrough FC over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Cardiff's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Cardiff's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

14 of Cardiff's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 87% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Cardiff's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Cardiff's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 87% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Middlesbrough haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Middlesbrough FC or draw · 82% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Middlesbrough FC and Cardiff City in Championship

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SCSwansea City
10
7
2
1
16:7
23
2.3
WWWWL
2
MFMiddlesbrough FC
10
6
3
1
20:14
21
2.1
WWDDW
3
WHWest Ham United
10
5
4
1
29:12
19
1.9
WDDWW
4
BCBirmingham City
10
4
5
1
17:11
17
1.7
WWDWL
5
QPQueens Park Rangers
10
4
5
1
15:9
17
1.7
WDDDD
6
WBWest Bromwich Albion
10
5
2
3
12:10
17
1.7
WLLDW
7
SFSouthampton FC
10
6
2
2
21:10
16
1.6
WWLWW
8
SCStoke City
10
5
1
4
17:16
16
1.6
LWWWD
9
BRBlackburn Rovers
10
4
3
3
15:13
15
1.5
WWDWL
10
WWWolverhampton Wanderers
9
4
2
3
16:14
14
1.56
LLWWD
11
MFMillwall FC
10
4
2
4
16:16
14
1.4
LWDDL
12
BCBristol City
10
4
2
4
12:14
14
1.4
LDWLL
13
CACharlton Athletic
10
3
5
2
10:13
14
1.4
DDLDD
14
BWBolton Wanderers
10
4
1
5
15:18
13
1.3
WLWWL
15
SUSheffield United
10
3
3
4
14:14
12
1.2
LWLLW
16
PFPortsmouth FC
9
3
2
4
12:13
11
1.22
WLDDW
17
WAWrexham AFC
10
2
5
3
11:15
11
1.1
LDWLD
18
LCLincoln City
10
3
2
5
7:17
11
1.1
LLLWW
19
CCCardiff City
10
2
4
4
16:15
10
1
WLWLD
20
NCNorwich City
10
3
0
7
17:20
9
0.9
LLLLW
21
BFBurnley FC
10
1
5
4
15:19
8
0.8
DWDLD
22
WFWatford FC
10
2
2
6
8:19
8
0.8
LLLLW
23
DCDerby County
10
1
3
6
9:19
6
0.6
LDDLL
24
PNPreston North End
10
1
1
8
8:20
4
0.4
LLDLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Qualification Playoffs Relegation

Middlesbrough FC vs Cardiff City: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Middlesbrough FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Cardiff City
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Middlesbrough FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Cardiff City
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Middlesbrough FC
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Cardiff City
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Middlesbrough FC
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Cardiff City
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Middlesbrough FC
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Cardiff City
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
70% chance
both teams to score: Yes
64% chance
Middlesbrough FC to win
61% chance
Best value
Over 2.5 · total goals
70% chance
both teams to score: Yes
64% chance
Middlesbrough FC
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Cardiff City
Last 10 games
1.6
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
Middlesbrough FC
  • Out · Sebastian Berhalter (Midfielder) — Other
Cardiff City

Nobody listed.

Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
MiddlesbroughM
1-0
WWolverhampton
Championship
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
StokeS
2-3
MMiddlesbrough
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
9
1.8 per game
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
BlackburnB
2-1
CCardiff
Championship
13 Oct 2026 · 19:45
CardiffC
5-1
WWatford
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game