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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liga DIMAYOR · Round 15
AD Pasto
Alianza FC Valledupar
02:05Tue
53%
20%
Draw27%

AD Pasto are the stronger side

LWWLD

last 5 games

WLWLD

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto · 18,000 seats
Referee
Alvaro Jose Melendez Panneflek (Colombia)
Managers
Diego Merino Rivera · Flabio Torres
Preview

AD Pasto are 3rd of 20 in Apertura, with 34 points from 19 games played.

Alianza FC Valledupar are 17th of 20, with 17 points from 19 games played.

Over their last 10, AD Pasto scored 0.7 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Alianza FC Valledupar scored 1 and conceded 2.1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

AD Pasto last played Fortaleza (at home) and drew 0-0.

Alianza FC Valledupar last played Aguilas Doradas Rionegro (at home) and drew 2-2.

Head-to-head, AD Pasto has 1W 3D 1L from the last 5 meetings, averaging 2 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

AD Pasto
2Win1Draw2Loss
Copa DIMAYOR, Knockout Stage
10 Sep 2026 · 02:10
PastoP
1-4
IMInd. Medellin
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
15 Sep 2026 · 02:00
America CaliAC
0-1
PPasto
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
20 Sep 2026 · 02:15
PastoP
1-0
OCOnce Caldas
Alianza FC Valledupar
2Win1Draw2Loss
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
16 Sep 2026 · 01:30
Boyaca ChicoBC
1-2
AFAlianza FC Valledupar
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
19 Sep 2026 · 22:05
Alianza FC ValleduparAF
1-4
ISIndepend. Santa Fe
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
27 Sep 2026 · 22:00
JaguaresJ
1-2

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
0020.4
30.661.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.671.4
81.6112.2
Events
Team

Pasto didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

AD Pasto or Alianza FC Valledupar (no draw) · 73% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Pasto's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals in Liga DIMAYOR

Under 3.5 goals · 77% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Alianza FC Valledupar conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches

AD Pasto over 0.5 goals · 79% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Pasto's last 15 matches had under 1.5 goals in the 2nd half

Under 1.5 goals in the 2nd half · 61% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: -1.5

13 of Pasto's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals · 77% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Pasto haven't won in 13 of their last 15 matches in Liga DIMAYOR

Alianza FC Valledupar or draw · 47% chance
13 / 15
Winless

Alianza FC Valledupar conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches

AD Pasto over 0.5 goals · 79% chance
13 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Alianza FC Valledupar's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 66% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of AD Pasto and Alianza FC Valledupar in Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
ANAtletico Nacional
19
13
1
5
35:15
40
2.11
DWDLW
2
CJCD Junior FC
19
11
2
6
31:24
35
1.84
DDLLW
3
APAD Pasto
19
10
4
5
29:25
34
1.79
DLWWD
4
ADAmerica de Cali
19
10
3
6
25:15
33
1.74
LWWDL
5
COCD Once Caldas
19
8
9
2
31:22
33
1.74
WDLLW
6
CTCD Tolima
19
8
7
4
27:17
31
1.63
LDDDD
7
ISIndependiente Santa Fe
19
7
8
4
29:22
29
1.53
WWLWW
8
IDInternacional de Bogota.
19
7
7
5
26:26
28
1.47
DDDLL
9
DCDeportivo Cali
19
7
6
6
20:16
27
1.42
DWWWW
10
MFMillonarios FC
19
7
5
7
31:23
26
1.37
DDDWW
11
IMIndependiente Medellin
19
7
5
7
26:24
26
1.37
WLDLW
12
ADAguilas Doradas Rionegro
19
7
5
7
20:25
26
1.37
DDWLL
13
CBCA Bucaramanga
19
5
8
6
26:20
23
1.21
DWWWD
14
LFLlaneros FC
19
4
10
5
17:20
22
1.16
LLLWL
15
FFFortaleza FC
19
5
7
7
22:27
22
1.16
DDDLD
16
JDJaguares de Cordoba
19
5
3
11
20:33
18
0.95
WLLLD
17
AFAlianza FC Valledupar
19
3
8
8
13:27
17
0.89
DLWLW
18
BCBoyaca Chico FC
19
5
2
12
15:32
17
0.89
LDWLL
19
CDCucuta Deportivo FC
19
3
7
9
22:35
16
0.84
WWWLL
20
DPDeportivo Pereira FC SA
19
1
7
11
15:32
10
0.53
DDLLD
Playoffs

AD Pasto vs Alianza FC Valledupar: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
AD Pasto
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Alianza FC Valledupar
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
AD Pasto
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Alianza FC Valledupar
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
AD Pasto
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Alianza FC Valledupar
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
AD Pasto
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Alianza FC Valledupar
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
AD Pasto
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Alianza FC Valledupar
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
75% chance
AD Pasto (draw no bet)
74% chance
AD Pasto or Alianza FC Valledupar
73% chance
Best value
AD Pasto (draw no bet)
74% chance
Over 1.5 · total goals
70% chance
AD Pasto
Last 10 games
0.7
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Alianza FC Valledupar
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
2.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
AD Pasto

Nobody listed.

Alianza FC Valledupar

Nobody listed.

Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
25 Sep 2026 · 00:10
Boyaca ChicoBC
3-0
PPasto
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
04 Oct 2026 · 20:00
PastoP
0-0
FFortaleza
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
AF
Alianza FC Valledupar
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
03 Oct 2026 · 02:30
CaliC
3-1
AFAlianza FC Valledupar
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
09 Oct 2026 · 00:00
Alianza FC ValleduparAF
2-2
ADAguilas Doradas Rionegro
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game