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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 8
Liverpool
Brighton
15:00Sun
47%
29%
Draw24%

Liverpool are the stronger side

DWWLW

last 5 games

WWWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Anfield, Liverpool · 61,276 seats
Preview

Liverpool are 9th of 20 in Premier League, with 9 points from 6 games played.

Brighton are 3rd of 20, with 13 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Liverpool scored 2 and conceded 1.2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Brighton scored 2.9 and conceded 0.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 30%.

Liverpool last played LASK (away) and won 6-3.

Brighton last played Kauno (at home) and won 4-0.

Head-to-head, Liverpool has 4W 0D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liverpool
3Win1Draw1Loss
Premier League
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
LiverpoolL
0-0
FFulham
EFL Cup
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
LiverpoolL
3-1
TTottenham
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
BournemouthB
0-1
LLiverpool
Brighton
5Win0Draw0Loss
Premier League
13 Sep 2026 · 14:00
CoventryC
0-5
BBrighton
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Manchester UnitedMU
2-3
BBrighton
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
BrightonB
3-0
AArsenal

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.800
61.220.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10271.4
173.420.4
Events
Team

Liverpool didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Liverpool or Brighton (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Brighton didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Liverpool or Brighton (no draw) · 75% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Brighton's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals in Premier League

Under 3.5 goals · 60% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Liverpool scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool over 0.5 goals · 84% chanceLiverpool over 1.5 goals · 54% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Liverpool won or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches

Liverpool to win or over 2.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

13 of Liverpool's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Liverpool and Brighton in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
MCManchester City
6
6
0
0
16:5
18
3
WWWWW
2
AFArsenal FC
6
5
0
1
10:5
15
2.5
WLWWW
3
B&Brighton & Hove Albion
6
4
1
1
18:5
13
2.17
WWWDL
4
BFBrentford FC
6
2
4
0
12:6
10
1.67
DWDDD
5
EFEverton FC
6
2
4
0
8:5
10
1.67
DWDDD
6
CFChelsea FC
6
3
1
2
15:13
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
LULeeds United
6
2
3
1
8:5
9
1.5
LDWDD
8
HCHull City
6
2
3
1
8:6
9
1.5
DLDDW
9
LFLiverpool FC
6
2
3
1
7:7
9
1.5
LWDWD
10
ITIpswich Town
6
3
0
3
9:12
9
1.5
WLWLL
11
NUNewcastle United
6
2
2
2
10:13
8
1.33
LWLDW
12
CPCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
9:12
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
MUManchester United
6
1
3
2
9:9
6
1
DDLDW
14
CCCoventry City
6
2
0
4
5:11
6
1
WWLLL
15
NFNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
5:8
5
0.83
LLWDD
16
AVAston Villa
6
1
2
3
6:11
5
0.83
DWLDL
17
SASunderland AFC
6
1
1
4
6:12
4
0.67
LLLDW
18
ABAFC Bournemouth
6
0
3
3
7:13
3
0.5
LLDDD
19
THTottenham Hotspur
6
0
3
3
3:9
3
0.5
DLDDL
20
FFFulham FC
6
0
2
4
6:10
2
0.33
LDDLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Liverpool vs Brighton: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Liverpool
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Brighton
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Liverpool
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Brighton
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Liverpool
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Brighton
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Liverpool
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Brighton
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Liverpool
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Brighton
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Liverpool or Brighton
76% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Liverpool (draw no bet)
61% chance
Best value
Liverpool or Brighton
76% chance
Liverpool to win
47% chance
Liverpool
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Brighton
Last 10 games
2.9
scored a game
0.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet70% of games
Liverpool
  • CBOut · Conor Bradley (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Hugo Ekitike (Forward) — Injured
  • GLOut · Giovanni Leoni (Defender) — Injured
Brighton
  • Out · Yankuba Minteh (Forward) — Injured
  • FAOut · Femi Azeez (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Kaoru Mitoma (Midfielder) — Injured
  • STOut · Stefanos Tzimas (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Mats Wieffer (Defender) — Injured
  • ZYOut · Zadok Yohanna (Forward) — Other
  • EFOut · Evan Ferguson (Forward) — Injured
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LASKL
3-6
LLiverpool
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
SunderlandS
0-2
BBrighton
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BrightonB
4-0
KKauno
Goals scored
17
3.4 per game
Goals conceded
2
0.4 per game