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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 8
Aston Villa
Man City
12:30Sat
WWWDW

last 5 games

WWWWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Villa Park, Birmingham · 43,205 seats
Managers
Unai Emery · Enzo Maresca
Preview

Aston Villa are 16th of 20 in Premier League, with 5 points from 6 games played.

Man City are 1st of 20, with 18 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Aston Villa scored 2.1 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Man City scored 2.5 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Aston Villa last played Fenerbahce (at home) and won 6-0.

Man City last played PSG (at home) and lost 2-4.

Head-to-head, Aston Villa has 4W 0D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Aston Villa
4Win1Draw0Loss
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
CoventryC
1-3
AVAston Villa
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
TottenhamT
2-3
AVAston Villa
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 19:30
SevillaS
1-3
AVAston Villa
Man City
4Win0Draw1Loss
Premier League
13 Sep 2026 · 16:30
Manchester UnitedMU
0-1
MCManchester City
EFL Cup
17 Sep 2026 · 19:30
Manchester CityMC
5-0
NNorwich
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Manchester CityMC
5-3
SSunderland

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.420.4
5151

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
173.461.2
163.271.4
Events
Team

15 of Aston Villa's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Aston Villa drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 away matches

15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Manchester City scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

15 / 15
Goals scored

Manchester City won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Manchester City scored in 15 of their last 15 matches in Premier League

15 / 15
Goals scored

Aston Villa drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches

14 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

14 of Aston Villa's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Aston Villa scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Aston Villa and Man City in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
MCManchester City
6
6
0
0
16:5
18
3
WWWWW
2
AFArsenal FC
6
5
0
1
10:5
15
2.5
WLWWW
3
B&Brighton & Hove Albion
6
4
1
1
18:5
13
2.17
WWWDL
4
BFBrentford FC
6
2
4
0
12:6
10
1.67
DWDDD
5
EFEverton FC
6
2
4
0
8:5
10
1.67
DWDDD
6
CFChelsea FC
6
3
1
2
15:13
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
LULeeds United
6
2
3
1
8:5
9
1.5
LDWDD
8
HCHull City
6
2
3
1
8:6
9
1.5
DLDDW
9
LFLiverpool FC
6
2
3
1
7:7
9
1.5
LWDWD
10
ITIpswich Town
6
3
0
3
9:12
9
1.5
WLWLL
11
NUNewcastle United
6
2
2
2
10:13
8
1.33
LWLDW
12
CPCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
9:12
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
MUManchester United
6
1
3
2
9:9
6
1
DDLDW
14
CCCoventry City
6
2
0
4
5:11
6
1
WWLLL
15
NFNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
5:8
5
0.83
LLWDD
16
AVAston Villa
6
1
2
3
6:11
5
0.83
DWLDL
17
SASunderland AFC
6
1
1
4
6:12
4
0.67
LLLDW
18
ABAFC Bournemouth
6
0
3
3
7:13
3
0.5
LLDDD
19
THTottenham Hotspur
6
0
3
3
3:9
3
0.5
DLDDL
20
FFFulham FC
6
0
2
4
6:10
2
0.33
LDDLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Aston Villa vs Man City: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Aston Villa
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Man City
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Aston Villa
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Man City
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Aston Villa
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Man City
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Aston Villa
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Man City
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Aston Villa
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Man City
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Aston Villa or Man City
77% chance
Man City (draw no bet)
72% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
61% chance
Best value
Man City to win
55% chance
Man City (draw no bet)
72% chance
Aston Villa
Last 10 games
2.1
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Man City
Last 10 games
2.5
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Aston Villa
  • Out · Modou Keba Cisse (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · George Hemmings (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Ian Maatsen (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Amadou Onana (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Matteo Ruggeri (Defender) — Injured
Man City

Nobody listed.

Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Aston VillaAV
2-2
BBrentford
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Aston VillaAV
6-0
FFenerbahce
Goals scored
17
3.4 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30
LiverpoolL
0-3
MCManchester City
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Manchester CityMC
2-4
PPSG
Goals scored
16
3.2 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game