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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 7
Newcastle
Aston Villa
17:30Sat
42%
32%
Draw26%

Newcastle are the stronger side

DWLWL

last 5 games

WWWDW

last 5 games

Stadium
St. James Park, Newcastle upon Tyne · 52,264 seats
Referee
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Managers
Matthias Jaissle · Unai Emery
Preview

Newcastle are 11th of 20 in Premier League, with 8 points from 6 games played.

Aston Villa are 16th of 20, with 5 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Newcastle scored 1.8 and conceded 2.1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 80% of those.

Aston Villa scored 2.1 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Newcastle last played Coventry (away) and lost 1-4.

Aston Villa last played Fenerbahce (at home) and won 6-0.

Head-to-head, Newcastle has 3W 1D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Newcastle
2Win1Draw2Loss
Premier League
05 Sep 2026 · 12:30
NewcastleN
2-2
BBournemouth
EFL Cup
08 Sep 2026 · 20:00
MillwallM
0-1
NNewcastle
Premier League
14 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Leeds UnitedLU
4-1
NNewcastle
Aston Villa
4Win1Draw0Loss
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
CoventryC
1-3
AVAston Villa
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 12:30
TottenhamT
2-3
AVAston Villa
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 19:30
SevillaS
1-3
AVAston Villa

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.661.2
71.420.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.4112.2
173.461.2
Events
Team

Newcastle scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Newcastle over 0.5 goals · 81% chanceNewcastle over 1.5 goals · 49% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

15 of Newcastle's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Newcastle's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Newcastle scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Newcastle over 0.5 goals · 81% chanceNewcastle over 1.5 goals · 49% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

15 of Newcastle's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Newcastle drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 77% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

15 of Aston Villa's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Aston Villa drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 away matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 77% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Newcastle and Aston Villa in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
MCManchester City
6
6
0
0
16:5
18
3
WWWWW
2
AFArsenal FC
6
5
0
1
10:5
15
2.5
WLWWW
3
B&Brighton & Hove Albion
6
4
1
1
18:5
13
2.17
WWWDL
4
BFBrentford FC
6
2
4
0
12:6
10
1.67
DWDDD
5
EFEverton FC
6
2
4
0
8:5
10
1.67
DWDDD
6
CFChelsea FC
6
3
1
2
15:13
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
LULeeds United
6
2
3
1
8:5
9
1.5
LDWDD
8
HCHull City
6
2
3
1
8:6
9
1.5
DLDDW
9
LFLiverpool FC
6
2
3
1
7:7
9
1.5
LWDWD
10
ITIpswich Town
6
3
0
3
9:12
9
1.5
WLWLL
11
NUNewcastle United
6
2
2
2
10:13
8
1.33
LWLDW
12
CPCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
9:12
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
MUManchester United
6
1
3
2
9:9
6
1
DDLDW
14
CCCoventry City
6
2
0
4
5:11
6
1
WWLLL
15
NFNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
5:8
5
0.83
LLWDD
16
AVAston Villa
6
1
2
3
6:11
5
0.83
DWLDL
17
SASunderland AFC
6
1
1
4
6:12
4
0.67
LLLDW
18
ABAFC Bournemouth
6
0
3
3
7:13
3
0.5
LLDDD
19
THTottenham Hotspur
6
0
3
3
3:9
3
0.5
DLDDL
20
FFFulham FC
6
0
2
4
6:10
2
0.33
LDDLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Newcastle
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Aston Villa
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Newcastle
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Aston Villa
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Newcastle
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Aston Villa
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Newcastle
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Aston Villa
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Newcastle
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Aston Villa
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Newcastle or Aston Villa
74% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
62% chance
Newcastle (draw no bet)
58% chance
Newcastle
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
2.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Aston Villa
Last 10 games
2.1
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Newcastle
  • Out · Ewen Jaouen (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Jacob Ramsey (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Anthony Elanga (Forward) — Injured
  • TLOut · Tino Livramento (Defender) — Injured
Aston Villa
  • Out · Modou Keba Cisse (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · George Hemmings (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Ian Maatsen (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Amadou Onana (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Matteo Ruggeri (Defender) — Injured
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
NewcastleN
2-1
HHull
Premier League
12 Oct 2026 · 20:00
CoventryC
4-1
NNewcastle
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Aston VillaAV
2-2
BBrentford
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
Aston VillaAV
6-0
FFenerbahce
Goals scored
17
3.4 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game