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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 7
Leeds United
Man Utd
14:00Sun
40%
33%
Draw27%

Evenly matched

DLWDL

last 5 games

LLDDL

last 5 games

Stadium
Elland Road, Leeds · 37,645 seats
Referee
Darren England (England)
Managers
Daniel Farke · Michael Carrick
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 5.00→4.80 (-4%)
Preview

Leeds United are 7th of 20 in Premier League, with 9 points from 6 games played.

Man Utd are 13th of 20, with 6 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Leeds United scored 2.2 and conceded 1.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Man Utd scored 1.7 and conceded 1.8 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Leeds United last played Arsenal (away) and lost 1-2.

Man Utd last played Atletico (away) and lost 0-2.

Head-to-head, Leeds United has 1W 2D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Leeds United
1Win2Draw2Loss
Premier League
05 Sep 2026 · 15:00
BrightonB
1-1
LULeeds United
EFL Cup
09 Sep 2026 · 20:15
ChelseaC
6-3
LULeeds United
Premier League
14 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Leeds UnitedLU
4-1
NNewcastle
Man Utd
0Win2Draw3Loss
Premier League
13 Sep 2026 · 16:30
Manchester UnitedMU
0-1
MCManchester City
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Manchester UnitedMU
2-3
BBrighton
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 16:30
FulhamF
1-1
MUManchester United

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5100
20.420.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.8102
40.881.6
Events
Team

Manchester United didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Leeds United or Man Utd (no draw) · 73% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Manchester United's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Manchester United scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Premier League

Man Utd over 0.5 goals · 76% chanceMan Utd over 1.5 goals · 42% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Leeds United scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Leeds United over 0.5 goals · 80% chanceLeeds United over 1.5 goals · 47% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

13 of Leeds United's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Leeds United's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Leeds United haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches in Premier League

Leeds United or draw · 67% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

Leeds United drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches in Premier League

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Leeds United and Man Utd in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
MCManchester City
6
6
0
0
16:5
18
3
WWWWW
2
AFArsenal FC
6
5
0
1
10:5
15
2.5
WLWWW
3
B&Brighton & Hove Albion
6
4
1
1
18:5
13
2.17
WWWDL
4
BFBrentford FC
6
2
4
0
12:6
10
1.67
DWDDD
5
EFEverton FC
6
2
4
0
8:5
10
1.67
DWDDD
6
CFChelsea FC
6
3
1
2
15:13
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
LULeeds United
6
2
3
1
8:5
9
1.5
LDWDD
8
HCHull City
6
2
3
1
8:6
9
1.5
DLDDW
9
LFLiverpool FC
6
2
3
1
7:7
9
1.5
LWDWD
10
ITIpswich Town
6
3
0
3
9:12
9
1.5
WLWLL
11
NUNewcastle United
6
2
2
2
10:13
8
1.33
LWLDW
12
CPCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
9:12
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
MUManchester United
6
1
3
2
9:9
6
1
DDLDW
14
CCCoventry City
6
2
0
4
5:11
6
1
WWLLL
15
NFNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
5:8
5
0.83
LLWDD
16
AVAston Villa
6
1
2
3
6:11
5
0.83
DWLDL
17
SASunderland AFC
6
1
1
4
6:12
4
0.67
LLLDW
18
ABAFC Bournemouth
6
0
3
3
7:13
3
0.5
LLDDD
19
THTottenham Hotspur
6
0
3
3
3:9
3
0.5
DLDDL
20
FFFulham FC
6
0
2
4
6:10
2
0.33
LDDLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Leeds United vs Man Utd: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Leeds United
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Man Utd
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Leeds United
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Man Utd
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Leeds United
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Man Utd
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Leeds United
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Man Utd
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Leeds United
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Man Utd
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Leeds United or Man Utd
73% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
65% chance
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
65% chance
Leeds United (draw no bet)
56% chance
Leeds United
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Man Utd
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Leeds United
  • Out · Mateo Joseph (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Joe Rodon (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Daniel James (Forward) — Injured
Man Utd
  • Out · Manuel Ugarte (Midfielder) — Injured
  • THOut · Tom Heaton (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Karl Darlow (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Patrick Dorgu (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Noussair Mazraoui (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Benjamin Sesko (Forward) — Injured
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Leeds UnitedLU
0-0
CPCrystal Palace
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30
ArsenalA
2-1
LULeeds United
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 17:30
Manchester UnitedMU
1-1
TTottenham
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
AtleticoA
2-0
MUManchester United
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game