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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Premier League · Round 7
Brighton
Crystal Palace
14:00Sun
WWWWW

last 5 games

WDLWL

last 5 games

Stadium
American Express Community Stadium, Falmer · 31,876 seats
Referee
Robert Jones (England)
Managers
Fabian Hurzeler · Pierre Sage
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 5.10→5.50 (+7.8%), 1X2: Away 5.64→5.89 (+4.4%), 1X2: Draw 4.68→4.85 (+3.6%)
Preview

Brighton are 3rd of 20 in Premier League, with 13 points from 6 games played.

Crystal Palace are 12th of 20, with 7 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Brighton scored 2.9 and conceded 0.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 30% of those.

Crystal Palace scored 1.8 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Brighton last played Kauno (at home) and won 4-0.

Crystal Palace last played Lyon (away) and lost 2-3.

Head-to-head, Brighton has 1W 2D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Brighton
5Win0Draw0Loss
Premier League
13 Sep 2026 · 14:00
CoventryC
0-5
BBrighton
EFL Cup
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Manchester UnitedMU
2-3
BBrighton
Premier League
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
BrightonB
3-0
AArsenal
Crystal Palace
2Win1Draw2Loss
UEFA Europa League
17 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Crystal PalaceCP
4-0
LPLech Poznan
Premier League
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Leeds UnitedLU
0-0
CPCrystal Palace
Club Friendly Games
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30
Crystal PalaceCP
0-2
BCBristol City

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.220.4
5140.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
173.420.4
91.861.2
Events
Team

Brighton didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

14 / 15
No draws

14 of Brighton's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 home matches had under 3.5 goals in Premier League

14 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

14 of Brighton's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Premier League

14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Crystal Palace didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

14 / 15
No draws

14 of Crystal Palace's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Crystal Palace's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Crystal Palace conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches

14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Brighton and Crystal Palace in Premier League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
MCManchester City
6
6
0
0
16:5
18
3
WWWWW
2
AFArsenal FC
6
5
0
1
10:5
15
2.5
WLWWW
3
B&Brighton & Hove Albion
6
4
1
1
18:5
13
2.17
WWWDL
4
BFBrentford FC
6
2
4
0
12:6
10
1.67
DWDDD
5
EFEverton FC
6
2
4
0
8:5
10
1.67
DWDDD
6
CFChelsea FC
6
3
1
2
15:13
10
1.67
WLDLW
7
LULeeds United
6
2
3
1
8:5
9
1.5
LDWDD
8
HCHull City
6
2
3
1
8:6
9
1.5
DLDDW
9
LFLiverpool FC
6
2
3
1
7:7
9
1.5
LWDWD
10
ITIpswich Town
6
3
0
3
9:12
9
1.5
WLWLL
11
NUNewcastle United
6
2
2
2
10:13
8
1.33
LWLDW
12
CPCrystal Palace
6
2
1
3
9:12
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
MUManchester United
6
1
3
2
9:9
6
1
DDLDW
14
CCCoventry City
6
2
0
4
5:11
6
1
WWLLL
15
NFNottingham Forest
6
1
2
3
5:8
5
0.83
LLWDD
16
AVAston Villa
6
1
2
3
6:11
5
0.83
DWLDL
17
SASunderland AFC
6
1
1
4
6:12
4
0.67
LLLDW
18
ABAFC Bournemouth
6
0
3
3
7:13
3
0.5
LLDDD
19
THTottenham Hotspur
6
0
3
3
3:9
3
0.5
DLDDL
20
FFFulham FC
6
0
2
4
6:10
2
0.33
LDDLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Relegation

Brighton vs Crystal Palace: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Brighton
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Crystal Palace
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Brighton
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Crystal Palace
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Brighton
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Crystal Palace
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Brighton
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Crystal Palace
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Brighton
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Crystal Palace
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Brighton to win
63% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: Yes
57% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
60% chance
Brighton to win
63% chance
Brighton
Last 10 games
2.9
scored a game
0.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet70% of games
Crystal Palace
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Brighton
  • Out · Yankuba Minteh (Forward) — Injured
  • FAOut · Femi Azeez (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Kaoru Mitoma (Midfielder) — Injured
  • STOut · Stefanos Tzimas (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Mats Wieffer (Defender) — Injured
  • ZYOut · Zadok Yohanna (Forward) — Other
  • EFOut · Evan Ferguson (Forward) — Injured
Crystal Palace
  • Out · Chadi Riad (Defender) — Injured
Premier League
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
SunderlandS
0-2
BBrighton
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
BrightonB
4-0
KKauno
Goals scored
17
3.4 per game
Goals conceded
2
0.4 per game
Premier League
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00
Crystal PalaceCP
3-1
NNottingham
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LyonL
3-2
CPCrystal Palace
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game