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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Championship · Round 11
Stenhousemuir FC
Raith Rovers FC
15:00Sat
29%
41%
Draw30%

Raith Rovers FC are the stronger side

LWWWL

last 5 games

WDLWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir · 5,267 seats
Managers
Marvin Bartley · Dougie Imrie
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 2.85→2.55 (-10.5%), GG/NG: Yes 1.95→2.10 (+7.7%), Over/Under: Under 2.5 1.62→1.51 (-6.8%), GG/NG: No 1.77→1.66 (-6.2%)
Preview

Stenhousemuir FC are 1st of 10 in Championship, with 22 points from 9 games played.

Raith Rovers FC are 3rd of 10, with 20 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Stenhousemuir FC scored 1.2 and conceded 0.6 a game on average, and both teams scored in 10% of those.

Raith Rovers FC scored 1.5 and conceded 0.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 30%.

Stenhousemuir FC last played Inverness (away) and lost 0-2.

Raith Rovers FC last played Queen's Park (at home) and won 2-0.

Head-to-head, Stenhousemuir FC has 1W 2D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Stenhousemuir FC
3Win0Draw2Loss
League Cup
11 Sep 2026 · 19:45
StenhousemuirS
0-3
HOHeart of Midlothian
Championship
15 Sep 2026 · 19:45
StenhousemuirS
1-0
PTPartick Thistle
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
StenhousemuirS
1-0
AArbroath
Raith Rovers FC
3Win1Draw1Loss
Championship
12 Sep 2026 · 15:00
Raith RoversRR
4-0
AArbroath
Championship
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00
Partick ThistlePT
0-0
RRRaith Rovers
Championship
25 Sep 2026 · 19:45
Raith RoversRR
0-2
LLivingston

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.440.8
5100

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.651
81.630.6
Events
Team

15 of Raith Rovers's last 15 away matches had under 3.5 goals in Championship

Under 3.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: -3.5

Stenhousemuir didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

Stenhousemuir FC or Raith Rovers FC (no draw) · 70% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Stenhousemuir didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Stenhousemuir FC or Raith Rovers FC (no draw) · 70% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Raith Rovers's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals in Championship

Over 1.5 goals · 64% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Stenhousemuir haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

Stenhousemuir FC or draw · 60% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

Stenhousemuir scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Stenhousemuir FC over 0.5 goals · 62% chanceStenhousemuir FC over 1.5 goals · 25% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

Stenhousemuir won or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches

Stenhousemuir FC to win or over 2.5 goals · 53% chance
13 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Stenhousemuir haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 home matches

Stenhousemuir FC or draw · 60% chance
13 / 15
Unbeaten

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Stenhousemuir FC and Raith Rovers FC in Championship

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SFStenhousemuir FC
9
7
1
1
12:4
22
2.44
LWWWW
2
PTPartick Thistle FC
10
6
3
1
11:3
21
2.1
WWWDL
3
RRRaith Rovers FC
10
6
2
2
15:6
20
2
WWLDW
4
LFLivingston FC
10
4
1
5
14:11
13
1.3
LLWDW
5
DADunfermline Athletic FC
8
3
4
1
7:5
13
1.62
DWWDW
6
ICInverness Caledonian Thistle FC
10
3
4
3
12:11
13
1.3
LWWDW
7
AUAyr United FC
11
3
3
5
10:12
12
1.09
LDWLW
8
AFArbroath FC
10
3
2
5
7:15
11
1.1
LLWLL
9
QPQueens Park FC
10
2
1
7
6:16
7
0.7
WLLLL
10
GMGreenock Morton FC
10
1
1
8
7:18
4
0.4
WLLLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Stenhousemuir FC vs Raith Rovers FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Stenhousemuir FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Raith Rovers FC
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Stenhousemuir FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Raith Rovers FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Stenhousemuir FC
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Raith Rovers FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Stenhousemuir FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Raith Rovers FC
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Stenhousemuir FC
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10
Raith Rovers FC
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
draw or Raith Rovers FC
71% chance
Over 1.5 · total goals
65% chance
Raith Rovers FC (draw no bet)
58% chance
Best value
Over 1.5 · total goals
65% chance
Raith Rovers FC (draw no bet)
58% chance
Stenhousemuir FC
Last 10 games
1.2
scored a game
0.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored10% of games
Over 2.5 goals20% of games
Kept a clean sheet70% of games
Raith Rovers FC
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
0.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored30% of games
Over 2.5 goals30% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Stenhousemuir FC
Raith Rovers FC
Championship
25 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AyrA
0-1
SStenhousemuir
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
InvernessI
2-0
SStenhousemuir
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Championship
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00
GreenockG
1-2
RRRaith Rovers
Championship
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00
Raith RoversRR
2-0
QPQueen's Park
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
3
0.6 per game