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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

J2 League · Round 12
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
11:00Wed
26%
46%
Draw28%

Sagan Tosu are the stronger side

DLWDL

last 5 games

WLWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Tohoku Denryoku Big Swan Stadium, Niigata · 41,684 seats
Preview

Albirex Niigata are 3rd of 20 in J2 League 26/27, with 20 points from 11 games played.

Sagan Tosu are 12th of 20, with 14 points from 11 games played.

Over their last 10, Albirex Niigata scored 1.4 and conceded 1.9 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Sagan Tosu scored 1 and conceded 1.1 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Albirex Niigata last played Oita (away) and lost 1-5.

Sagan Tosu last played Omiya ArdijaA (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, Albirex Niigata has 2W 1D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Albirex Niigata
1Win2Draw2Loss
J.League 2
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00
Blaublitz ABA
2-2
AAlbirex
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
MatsumotoM
1-0
AAlbirex
J.League 2
03 Oct 2026 · 06:00
AlbirexA
2-1
VVortis
Sagan Tosu
4Win0Draw1Loss
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
TosuT
2-1
TVTokyo V
J.League 2
04 Oct 2026 · 06:00
Blaublitz ABA
1-0
TTosu
J.League 2
10 Oct 2026 · 06:00
TosuT
1-0
FFujieda

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.851
20.410.2

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.2102
71.440.8
Events
Team

Albirex didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu (no draw) · 72% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Tosu didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu (no draw) · 72% chance
15 / 15
No draws

Tosu scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Sagan Tosu over 0.5 goals · 76% chanceSagan Tosu over 1.5 goals · 42% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

15 of Tosu's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 75% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Tosu won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Sagan Tosu to win or over 2.5 goals · 65% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Albirex won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Albirex Niigata to win or over 2.5 goals · 57% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

Albirex scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches in J2 League

Albirex Niigata over 0.5 goals · 64% chanceAlbirex Niigata over 1.5 goals · 27% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Albirex won at least one half in 14 of their last 15 home matches in J2 League

Albirex Niigata to win either half · 41% chance
14 / 15
Won at least one half

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu in J.League 2

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
VSVegalta Sendai
11
7
3
1
18:8
24
2.18
DWWWW
2
RORB Omiya Ardija
11
5
5
1
21:11
20
1.82
LWDWD
3
ANAlbirex Niigata
11
6
2
3
15:19
20
1.82
LDWDW
4
KTKataller Toyama
11
5
4
2
20:11
19
1.73
DDWDW
5
YFYokohama FC
11
5
3
3
20:14
18
1.64
DLWDW
6
SBShonan Bellmare
11
4
6
1
12:10
18
1.64
DDDWD
7
OTOita Trinita
11
4
5
2
16:9
17
1.55
WWWDD
8
IFIwaki FC
11
5
0
6
18:17
15
1.36
WWLLW
9
FMFujieda MYFC
11
3
5
3
13:11
14
1.27
DLDDD
10
TMTegevajaro Miyazaki
11
3
5
3
15:15
14
1.27
DDDWW
11
JIJubilo Iwata
11
4
2
5
13:14
14
1.27
DWLLL
12
STSagan Tosu
11
4
2
5
11:13
14
1.27
WWLLL
13
TVTokushima Vortis
11
4
2
5
10:12
14
1.27
DLLWW
14
MYMontedio Yamagata
11
4
1
6
11:9
13
1.18
DLLWL
15
BABlaublitz Akita
11
3
4
4
12:12
13
1.18
LLWDD
16
TCTochigi City FC
11
3
2
6
17:18
11
1
DLLLL
17
HCHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
11
3
2
6
13:19
11
1
WLWLD
18
FIFC Imabari
11
3
2
6
14:22
11
1
DWWLL
19
VHVanraure Hachinohe FC
11
3
2
6
9:20
11
1
DLLWL
20
VKVentforet Kofu
11
3
1
7
9:23
10
0.91
LWLLL
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Albirex Niigata
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Sagan Tosu
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Albirex Niigata
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Sagan Tosu
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Albirex Niigata
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Sagan Tosu
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Albirex Niigata
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Sagan Tosu
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Albirex Niigata
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Sagan Tosu
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Under 3.5 · total goals
75% chance
draw or Sagan Tosu
73% chance
Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)
63% chance
Best value
Sagan Tosu to win
45% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
75% chance
Albirex Niigata
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Sagan Tosu
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.1
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
J.League 2
11 Oct 2026 · 10:00
ShonanS
1-1
AAlbirex
J.League 2
17 Oct 2026 · 06:00
OitaO
5-1
AAlbirex
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game
J. League Cup
14 Oct 2026 · 11:00
TosuT
2-1
AAvispa
J.League 2
17 Oct 2026 · 06:00
TosuT
2-1
OAOmiya ArdijaA
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
4
0.8 per game