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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

J1 League · Round 11
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11:00Wed
15%
67%
Draw18%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side

DLLDL

last 5 games

WWWWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Peace Stadium Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki · 20,000 seats
Managers
Takuya Takagi · Bartosch Gaul
Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki are 15th of 20 in J1 League 26/27, with 9 points from 10 games played.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 1st of 20, with 23 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, V-Varen Nagasaki scored 0.9 and conceded 1.6 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored 2.4 and conceded 0.4 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 20%.

V-Varen Nagasaki last played Kashima (away) and lost 0-2.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima last played Kyoto Sanga (at home) and won 3-0.

Head-to-head, V-Varen Nagasaki has 0W 0D 4L from the last 4 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

V-Varen Nagasaki
0Win2Draw3Loss
J.League
19 Sep 2026 · 10:30
V-VarenV
1-1
CCerezo
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
Gainare TGT
2-0
VV-Varen
Emperor Cup
07 Oct 2026 · 11:00
ShimizuS
2-1
VV-Varen
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5Win0Draw0Loss
J. League Cup
29 Sep 2026 · 11:00
Tochigi CityTC
0-2
HHiroshima
Emperor Cup
07 Oct 2026 · 10:30
HiroshimaH
4-0
IFIwaki FC
J.League
11 Oct 2026 · 07:00
Tokyo VTV
0-2
HHiroshima

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.440.8
5100

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.681.6
122.400
Events
Team

V-Varen won or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 home matches

V-Varen Nagasaki to win or over 2.5 goals · 68% chance
14 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

V-Varen didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw) · 82% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Hiroshima haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw · 85% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Hiroshima scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 0.5 goals · 89% chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals · 66% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Hiroshima didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw) · 82% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Hiroshima's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 83% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Hiroshima scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 0.5 goals · 89% chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals · 66% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

Hiroshima won at least one half in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win either half · 77% chance
14 / 15
Won at least one half

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J.League

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
SHSanfrecce Hiroshima
10
7
2
1
25:6
23
2.3
WWWWL
2
FTFC Tokyo
10
7
2
1
21:8
23
2.3
WWWWW
3
KRKashiwa Reysol
10
7
0
3
22:17
21
2.1
LWWWL
4
MZMachida Zelvia
9
6
2
1
22:10
20
2.22
WLDWW
5
KAKashima Antlers
10
6
1
3
21:16
19
1.9
WWDLL
6
VKVissel Kobe
9
6
1
2
14:9
19
2.11
LWWWW
7
KFKawasaki Frontale
10
4
4
2
21:16
16
1.6
WLDWW
8
YFYokohama F Marinos
10
4
4
2
13:9
16
1.6
DDWDW
9
URUrawa Red Diamonds
10
5
0
5
17:21
15
1.5
WLWLW
10
SSShimizu S-Pulse
10
4
2
4
10:11
14
1.4
DWWWL
11
FOFagiano Okayama
9
4
1
4
12:12
13
1.44
LLWWW
12
NGNagoya Grampus
10
4
0
6
12:16
12
1.2
WWLLL
13
COCerezo Osaka
10
3
3
4
9:16
12
1.2
LDDLD
14
MHMito Hollyhock
10
2
3
5
12:14
9
0.9
LLLLD
15
VNV-Varen Nagasaki
10
2
3
5
11:18
9
0.9
LDDWL
16
KSKyoto Sanga FC
10
2
2
6
11:19
8
0.8
LLWLL
17
AFAvispa Fukuoka
9
2
1
6
11:13
7
0.78
WLLDL
18
GOGamba Osaka
10
1
4
5
10:18
7
0.7
DLLLL
19
JUJEF United Chiba
10
1
3
6
8:19
6
0.6
DDLDW
20
TVTokyo Verdy
10
0
4
6
4:18
4
0.4
LLLDD
Champions League Elite Relegation

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
V-Varen Nagasaki
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
65% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
both teams to score: Yes
55% chance
Best value
Under 3.5 · total goals
60% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
62% chance
V-Varen Nagasaki
Last 10 games
0.9
scored a game
1.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Last 10 games
2.4
scored a game
0.4
conceded a game
Both teams scored20% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet80% of games
V-Varen Nagasaki
  • TAOut · Taisei Abe (Midfielder) — Injured
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nobody listed.

J.League
11 Oct 2026 · 06:00
United ChibaUC
1-1
VV-Varen
J.League
17 Oct 2026 · 07:00
KashimaK
2-0
VV-Varen
Goals scored
3
0.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
J. League Cup
14 Oct 2026 · 11:00
MatsumotoM
0-1
HHiroshima
J.League
17 Oct 2026 · 06:00
HiroshimaH
3-0
KSKyoto Sanga
Goals scored
12
2.4 per game
Goals conceded
0
0 per game