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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Liga MX · Round 12
Deportivo Toluca FC
Atletico San Luis
02:00Sun
72%
12%
Draw16%

Deportivo Toluca FC are the stronger side

WLDLL

last 5 games

LLWWL

last 5 games

Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca · 30,000 seats
Referee
Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava (Mexico)
Managers
Antonio Mohamed · Diego Mejia
Preview

Deportivo Toluca FC are 3rd of 18 in Liga MX 26/27, Apertura, with 20 points from 11 games played.

Atletico San Luis are 15th of 18, with 12 points from 11 games played.

Over their last 10, Deportivo Toluca FC scored 2.4 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Atletico San Luis scored 1.7 and conceded 2.6 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Deportivo Toluca FC last played Tigres (away) and lost 2-3.

Atletico San Luis last played Santos Laguna (at home) and lost 1-2.

Head-to-head, Deportivo Toluca FC has 5W 1D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.33 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Deportivo Toluca FC
1Win1Draw3Loss
Liga MX, Apertura
16 Sep 2026 · 02:00
PueblaP
0-1
TToluca
Liga MX, Apertura
21 Sep 2026 · 01:00
TolucaT
2-3
SLSantos Laguna
Liga MX, Apertura
26 Sep 2026 · 23:50
Cruz AzulCA
3-3
TToluca
Atletico San Luis

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.651
30.640.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
91.8112.2
71.4102
Events
Team

Toluca didn't draw in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Deportivo Toluca FC or Atletico San Luis (no draw) · 84% chance
15 / 15
No draws

15 of San Luis's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

San Luis conceded in 15 of their last 15 away matches

Deportivo Toluca FC over 0.5 goals · 92% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Toluca's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Toluca's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Toluca's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of San Luis's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

San Luis conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches

Deportivo Toluca FC over 0.5 goals · 92% chance
14 / 15
Goals conceded

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Deportivo Toluca FC and Atletico San Luis in Liga MX, Apertura

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
CACF America
10
6
3
1
22:11
21
2.1
DWDLW
2
AFAtlas FC
12
6
3
3
19:18
21
1.75
WDWDL
3
DTDeportivo Toluca FC
11
6
2
3
25:15
20
1.82
LDLWW
4
QFQueretaro FC
10
6
2
2
15:8
20
2
WWDWW
5
CGCD Guadalajara
11
5
4
2
18:11
19
1.73
DLDWW
6
CLClub Leon
11
5
3
3
15:12
18
1.64
DWDWL
7
CCCF Cruz Azul
11
5
2
4
22:21
17
1.55
DDLWW
8
CTClub Tijuana de Caliente
11
4
4
3
15:14
16
1.45
DDLDL
9
PUPumas UNAM
12
4
4
4
19:20
16
1.33
WDLDL
10
CPClub Puebla
12
4
4
4
12:13
16
1.33
DDLDL
11
CMCF Monterrey
10
4
2
4
17:15
14
1.4
DLWDL
12
CPCF Pachuca
11
3
4
4
18:14
13
1.18
DLDWW
13
TUTigres UANL
11
3
4
4
13:15
13
1.18
WWLDD
14
CSClub Santos Laguna
11
4
1
6
12:16
13
1.18
WWWWL
15
ASAtletico San Luis
11
3
3
5
15:20
12
1.09
LWWLL
16
AFAtlante FC
12
2
5
5
13:19
11
0.92
LLWDL
17
CNClub Necaxa
12
2
3
7
15:25
9
0.75
LDLLL
18
FJFC Juarez
11
1
1
9
8:26
4
0.36
DLWLL
Playoffs

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atletico San Luis: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Atletico San Luis
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Atletico San Luis
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Atletico San Luis
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Atletico San Luis
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Deportivo Toluca FC
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Atletico San Luis
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Deportivo Toluca FC to win
72% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
68% chance
both teams to score: Yes
57% chance
Best value
Deportivo Toluca FC to win
72% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
68% chance
Deportivo Toluca FC
Last 10 games
2.4
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet50% of games
Atletico San Luis
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
2.6
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nobody listed.

Atletico San Luis

Nobody listed.

Club Friendly Games
03 Oct 2026 · 00:30
MonterreyM
2-1
TToluca
Liga MX, Apertura
10 Oct 2026 · 04:00
TigresT
3-2
TToluca
Goals scored
9
1.8 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game
2Win0Draw3Loss
Liga MX, Apertura
05 Sep 2026 · 00:00
San LuisSL
0-3
GGuadalajara
Liga MX, Apertura
15 Sep 2026 · 02:00
LeonL
2-0
SLSan Luis
Liga MX, Apertura
19 Sep 2026 · 00:00
San LuisSL
3-1
NNecaxa
Liga MX, Apertura
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00
Pumas UNAMPU
2-3
SLSan Luis
Liga MX, Apertura
11 Oct 2026 · 00:00
San LuisSL
1-2
SLSantos Laguna
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
10
2 per game