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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Eerste Divisie · Round 11
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
De Graafschap
19:00Mon
36%
41%
Draw23%

Evenly matched

WLLDL

last 5 games

WLWDW

last 5 games

Stadium
Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam · 2,000 seats
Managers
Carlos Garcia · Thomas Duivenvoorden
Preview

Jong Ajax Amsterdam are 18th of 20 in Eerste Divisie 26/27, with 8 points from 10 games played.

De Graafschap are 15th of 20, with 11 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, Jong Ajax Amsterdam scored 1.3 and conceded 2.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

De Graafschap scored 1.3 and conceded 2.3 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

Jong Ajax Amsterdam last played Venlo (at home) and lost 0-3.

De Graafschap last played Utrecht (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, Jong Ajax Amsterdam has 2W 1D 3L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Jong Ajax Amsterdam
1Win1Draw3Loss
Eerste Divisie
04 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AlmereA
0-1
JAJong Ajax Amsterdam
Eerste Divisie
11 Sep 2026 · 19:00
Jong Ajax AmsterdamJA
0-2
WWaalwijk
Eerste Divisie
14 Sep 2026 · 19:00
UtrechtU
6-1
JAJong Ajax Amsterdam
De Graafschap
3Win1Draw1Loss
Eerste Divisie
11 Sep 2026 · 19:00
EmmenE
1-2
DGDe Graafschap
Eerste Divisie
20 Sep 2026 · 15:45
De GraafschapDG
1-2
BBreda
Eerste Divisie
27 Sep 2026 · 13:30
De GraafschapDG
1-0
DBDen Bosch

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
0040.8
30.651

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
20.4112.2
81.661.2
Events
Team

15 of De Graafschap's last 15 matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

15 of De Graafschap's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 1st half

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 1st Half: +0.5

De Graafschap scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

De Graafschap over 0.5 goals · 86% chanceDe Graafschap over 1.5 goals · 59% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

De Graafschap won or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

De Graafschap to win or over 2.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Won or over 2.5 goals

14 of Jong Ajax Amsterdam's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Jong Ajax Amsterdam's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of De Graafschap's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

De Graafschap scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

De Graafschap over 0.5 goals · 86% chanceDe Graafschap over 1.5 goals · 59% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Jong Ajax Amsterdam and De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
HAHeracles Almelo
10
8
1
1
31:12
25
2.5
WDWLW
2
ACAlmere City FC
10
7
1
2
22:7
22
2.2
WWLWW
3
VVVVV Venlo
11
7
1
3
30:18
22
2
DWWLW
4
NBNAC Breda
11
6
2
3
22:19
20
1.82
WWDWW
5
FEFC Emmen
10
6
1
3
22:18
19
1.9
WDWLL
6
VAVitesse Arnhem
11
5
2
4
16:15
17
1.55
WLDLW
7
RJRoda JC Kerkrade
10
4
4
2
10:8
16
1.6
DLWDW
8
MMMVV Maastricht
10
5
1
4
13:20
16
1.6
LLWLL
9
FVFC Volendam
10
5
0
5
22:17
15
1.5
WLWLW
10
RWRKC Waalwijk
10
3
5
2
19:15
14
1.4
LDLWW
11
JAJong AZ Alkmaar
11
4
2
5
26:22
14
1.27
DLWDL
12
FDFC Den Bosch
11
4
2
5
16:19
14
1.27
WWDLW
13
JPJong PSV Eindhoven
10
3
4
3
15:17
13
1.3
DLDLW
14
TOTOP Oss
11
4
0
7
16:17
12
1.09
LWWLW
15
DGDe Graafschap
10
3
2
5
13:23
11
1.1
WDWLW
16
FEFC Eindhoven
11
3
2
6
15:23
11
1
LLDLW
17
HSHelmond Sport
11
2
3
6
16:21
9
0.82
LLDLL
18
JAJong Ajax Amsterdam
10
2
2
6
13:25
8
0.8
LDLLW
19
FDFC Dordrecht
10
2
2
6
13:27
8
0.8
LDWLL
20
JFJong FC Utrecht
10
2
1
7
16:23
7
0.7
LLWWD
Promotion Promotion Playoffs

Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs De Graafschap: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
De Graafschap
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
De Graafschap
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
De Graafschap
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
De Graafschap
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
De Graafschap
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
both teams to score: Yes
73% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
73% chance
draw or De Graafschap
64% chance
Best value
both teams to score: Yes
73% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
73% chance
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
2.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
De Graafschap
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
2.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
Jong Ajax Amsterdam
De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00
Jong Ajax AmsterdamJA
0-0
RRoda
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
Jong Ajax AmsterdamJA
0-3
VVenlo
Goals scored
2
0.4 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game
Eerste Divisie
03 Oct 2026 · 19:00
FC EindhovenFE
2-2
DGDe Graafschap
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
De GraafschapDG
2-1
UUtrecht
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game