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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Eerste Divisie · Round 11
MVV Maastricht
Heracles Almelo
15:45Sun
15%
67%
Draw18%

Heracles Almelo are the stronger side

LLWLL

last 5 games

WLWDW

last 5 games

Stadium
De Geusselt, Maastricht · 10,000 seats
Managers
Peter Van den Berg · Vincent Heilmann
Preview

MVV Maastricht are 8th of 20 in Eerste Divisie 26/27, with 16 points from 10 games played.

Heracles Almelo are 1st of 20, with 25 points from 10 games played.

Over their last 10, MVV Maastricht scored 1.3 and conceded 2 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Heracles Almelo scored 3.1 and conceded 1.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

MVV Maastricht last played Breda (away) and lost 0-1.

Heracles Almelo last played Waalwijk (at home) and won 3-0.

Head-to-head, MVV Maastricht has 0W 2D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

MVV Maastricht
1Win0Draw4Loss
Eerste Divisie
11 Sep 2026 · 19:00
MaastrichtM
0-4
AAlmere
Eerste Divisie
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00
WaalwijkW
6-1
MMaastricht
Eerste Divisie
26 Sep 2026 · 19:00
MaastrichtM
2-0
HHelmond
Heracles Almelo
3Win1Draw1Loss
Eerste Divisie
11 Sep 2026 · 19:00
Heracles AlmeloHA
3-2
JAJong AZ Alkmaar
Eerste Divisie
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AlmereA
1-0
HAHeracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie
26 Sep 2026 · 15:30
Heracles AlmeloHA
2-0
VVitesse

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10.251
5130.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
40.8153
10251
Events
Team

Heracles Almelo conceded in 15 of their last 15 away matches

MVV Maastricht over 0.5 goals · 66% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

14 of Maastricht's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Maastricht conceded in 14 of their last 15 away matches in Eerste Divisie

14 / 15
Goals conceded

Heracles Almelo didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 matches

MVV Maastricht or Heracles Almelo (no draw) · 81% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Heracles Almelo didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 away matches

MVV Maastricht or Heracles Almelo (no draw) · 81% chance
14 / 15
No draws

14 of Heracles Almelo's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Maastricht's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Maastricht haven't won in 13 of their last 15 away matches

Heracles Almelo or draw · 85% chance
13 / 15
Winless

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of MVV Maastricht and Heracles Almelo in Eerste Divisie

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
HAHeracles Almelo
10
8
1
1
31:12
25
2.5
WDWLW
2
ACAlmere City FC
10
7
1
2
22:7
22
2.2
WWLWW
3
VVVVV Venlo
11
7
1
3
30:18
22
2
DWWLW
4
NBNAC Breda
11
6
2
3
22:19
20
1.82
WWDWW
5
FEFC Emmen
10
6
1
3
22:18
19
1.9
WDWLL
6
VAVitesse Arnhem
11
5
2
4
16:15
17
1.55
WLDLW
7
RJRoda JC Kerkrade
10
4
4
2
10:8
16
1.6
DLWDW
8
MMMVV Maastricht
10
5
1
4
13:20
16
1.6
LLWLL
9
FVFC Volendam
10
5
0
5
22:17
15
1.5
WLWLW
10
RWRKC Waalwijk
10
3
5
2
19:15
14
1.4
LDLWW
11
JAJong AZ Alkmaar
11
4
2
5
26:22
14
1.27
DLWDL
12
FDFC Den Bosch
11
4
2
5
16:19
14
1.27
WWDLW
13
JPJong PSV Eindhoven
10
3
4
3
15:17
13
1.3
DLDLW
14
TOTOP Oss
11
4
0
7
16:17
12
1.09
LWWLW
15
DGDe Graafschap
10
3
2
5
13:23
11
1.1
WDWLW
16
FEFC Eindhoven
11
3
2
6
15:23
11
1
LLDLW
17
HSHelmond Sport
11
2
3
6
16:21
9
0.82
LLDLL
18
JAJong Ajax Amsterdam
10
2
2
6
13:25
8
0.8
LDLLW
19
FDFC Dordrecht
10
2
2
6
13:27
8
0.8
LDWLL
20
JFJong FC Utrecht
10
2
1
7
16:23
7
0.7
LLWWD
Promotion Promotion Playoffs

MVV Maastricht vs Heracles Almelo: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
MVV Maastricht
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
MVV Maastricht
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
MVV Maastricht
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
MVV Maastricht
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
MVV Maastricht
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Heracles Almelo
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 2.5 · total goals
68% chance
Heracles Almelo to win
67% chance
both teams to score: Yes
61% chance
Best value
Heracles Almelo to win
67% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
68% chance
MVV Maastricht
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
2
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Heracles Almelo
Last 10 games
3.1
scored a game
1.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
No injury list for this league, so absences are unknown — this isn't the same as "no injuries".
MVV Maastricht
Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie
03 Oct 2026 · 15:30
OssO
4-1
MMaastricht
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
BredaB
1-0
MMaastricht
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
15
3 per game
Eerste Divisie
02 Oct 2026 · 20:00
HelmondH
2-2
HAHeracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie
09 Oct 2026 · 19:00
Heracles AlmeloHA
3-0
WWaalwijk
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game