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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Eredivisie · Round 9
FC Groningen
Ajax
15:45Sun
28%
49%
Draw23%

Ajax are the stronger side

LDDWW

last 5 games

WWDDL

last 5 games

Stadium
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen · 22,550 seats
Referee
Dennis John Higler (Netherlands)
Managers
Dick Lukkien · Michel
Preview

FC Groningen are 6th of 18 in Eredivisie 26/27, with 14 points from 8 games played.

Ajax are 5th of 18, with 15 points from 8 games played.

Over their last 10, FC Groningen scored 2.4 and conceded 1.8 a game on average, and both teams scored in 90% of those.

Ajax scored 3 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 90%.

FC Groningen last played Excelsior (away) and won 5-1.

Ajax last played Hajduk (away) and lost 1-2.

Head-to-head, FC Groningen has 1W 1D 4L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.83 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

FC Groningen
2Win2Draw1Loss
Eredivisie
28 Aug 2026 · 19:00
GroningenG
2-3
SSittard
Eredivisie
06 Sep 2026 · 11:15
GroningenG
2-2
EEnschede
Eredivisie
12 Sep 2026 · 17:45
GA EaglesGE
1-1
GGroningen
Ajax
2Win2Draw1Loss
Eredivisie
12 Sep 2026 · 19:00
SittardS
1-5
AAjax
Eredivisie
15 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AjaxA
5-1
WIWillem II
Eredivisie
19 Sep 2026 · 19:00
AjaxA
2-2
EExcelsior

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.651
5130.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
132.671.4
142.871.4
Events
Team

15 of Groningen's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 87% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Groningen drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

15 of Groningen's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 87% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Groningen's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 86% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

15 of Ajax's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 87% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Ajax scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Ajax over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceAjax over 1.5 goals · 61% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Ajax scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Ajax over 0.5 goals · 87% chanceAjax over 1.5 goals · 61% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Groningen scored in 14 of their last 15 matches

FC Groningen over 0.5 goals · 78% chanceFC Groningen over 1.5 goals · 45% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of FC Groningen and Ajax in Eredivisie

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
FRFeyenoord Rotterdam
8
6
2
0
27:7
20
2.5
WWWWD
2
PEPSV Eindhoven
8
6
1
1
26:10
19
2.38
WLWWW
3
AAAZ Alkmaar
8
6
1
1
18:8
19
2.38
LWDWW
4
FTFC Twente Enschede
8
5
2
1
16:8
17
2.12
DWWWD
5
AAAjax Amsterdam
8
4
3
1
22:10
15
1.88
DDWWL
6
FGFC Groningen
8
4
2
2
20:14
14
1.75
WWDDL
7
FSFortuna Sittard
8
4
2
2
14:15
14
1.75
DWLWW
8
SHSC Heerenveen
9
3
3
3
15:11
12
1.33
WLWDL
9
GAGo Ahead Eagles
8
2
5
1
19:17
11
1.38
DDDDL
10
ERExcelsior Rotterdam
9
3
2
4
16:18
11
1.22
LLDLD
11
NNNEC Nijmegen
8
2
3
3
13:14
9
1.12
DDLDL
12
SCSC Cambuur
8
2
2
4
11:19
8
1
WDWDL
13
FUFC Utrecht
8
2
2
4
14:25
8
1
WLWDL
14
SRSparta Rotterdam
8
1
3
4
13:20
6
0.75
DLLDL
15
STSC Telstar
8
1
3
4
7:14
6
0.75
DLDLD
16
PZPEC Zwolle
8
1
1
6
6:21
4
0.5
LLLDL
17
ADADO Den Haag
8
0
3
5
9:19
3
0.38
DDLLD
18
WIWillem II Tilburg
8
0
2
6
7:23
2
0.25
LLLDL
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Qualification Qualification Playoffs Relegation Playoffs Relegation

FC Groningen vs Ajax: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
FC Groningen
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Ajax
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
FC Groningen
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Ajax
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
FC Groningen
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Ajax
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
FC Groningen
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Ajax
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
FC Groningen
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Ajax
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
FC Groningen or Ajax
78% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
69% chance
both teams to score: Yes
69% chance
Best value
Ajax to win
50% chance
FC Groningen or Ajax
78% chance
FC Groningen
Last 10 games
2.4
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals90% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Ajax
Last 10 games
3
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored90% of games
Over 2.5 goals90% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
FC Groningen

Nobody listed.

Ajax

Nobody listed.

Eredivisie
18 Sep 2026 · 19:00
GroningenG
3-0
ZZwolle
Eredivisie
11 Oct 2026 · 15:45
ExcelsiorE
1-5
GGroningen
Goals scored
13
2.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Eredivisie
10 Oct 2026 · 20:00
AjaxA
1-1
NNijmegen
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
HajdukH
2-1
AAjax
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game