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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Ligue 1 · Round 8
Toulouse
Troyes
16:15Sat
57%
20%
Draw23%

Toulouse are the stronger side

LDWDW

last 5 games

WLLLL

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse · 33,150 seats
Managers
Jens Berthel Askou · Stephane Dumont
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: 1X2: Away 4.55→4.73 (+4%)
Preview

Toulouse are 7th of 18 in Ligue 1, with 9 points from 7 games played.

Troyes are 17th of 18, with 4 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Toulouse scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 a game on average, and both teams scored in 60% of those.

Troyes scored 1.4 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Toulouse last played Le Mans (away) and won 3-0.

Troyes last played Marseille (at home) and lost 0-2.

Head-to-head, Toulouse has 4W 2D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Toulouse
2Win2Draw1Loss
Ligue 1
03 Sep 2026 · 19:45
ToulouseT
0-1
LLille
Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
LorientL
2-2
TToulouse
Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
ToulouseT
3-2
LHLe Havre
Troyes
1Win0Draw4Loss
Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 · 19:45
LorientL
1-2
TTroyes
Ligue 1
06 Sep 2026 · 14:00
TroyesT
2-6
SAStrasbourg Alsace
Ligue 1
13 Sep 2026 · 14:00
LilleL
2-0
TTroyes

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
0040.8
30.640.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10271.4
40.8132.6
Events
Team

14 of Toulouse's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half in Ligue 1

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Troyes's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

13 of Toulouse's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 81% chance
13 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Toulouse conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches

13 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Toulouse's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Toulouse drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 75% chance
13 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Toulouse conceded in 13 of their last 15 away matches

13 / 15
Goals conceded

13 of Toulouse's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 82% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Toulouse and Troyes in Ligue 1

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
AMAS Monaco
6
4
2
0
10:5
14
2.33
DWDWW
2
LOLille OSC
6
4
1
1
9:4
13
2.17
WLWWD
3
SRStade Rennais FC
6
4
1
1
12:10
13
2.17
WLWWW
4
OLOlympique Lyon
6
3
2
1
11:4
11
1.83
LWDWD
5
PFParis FC
6
3
2
1
8:4
11
1.83
LWDWW
6
PSParis Saint-Germain
6
3
2
1
11:8
11
1.83
WWWLD
7
TFToulouse FC
7
2
3
2
12:11
9
1.29
WDWDL
8
SBStade Brest 29
6
2
2
2
12:9
8
1.33
WLLWD
9
FLFC Lorient
6
2
2
2
6:6
8
1.33
WLDWL
10
ONOGC Nice
6
2
2
2
5:7
8
1.33
WWLDL
11
RCRacing Club De Lens
6
2
1
3
11:10
7
1.17
WLDLL
12
SAStrasbourg Alsace
6
2
1
3
11:12
7
1.17
LLDWW
13
ASAngers SCO
6
2
1
3
7:10
7
1.17
LWDLW
14
OMOlympique Marseille
6
2
0
4
9:8
6
1
WLLLL
15
LMLe Mans FC
7
1
3
3
10:15
6
0.86
LLWDD
16
AAAJ Auxerre
6
2
0
4
8:16
6
1
LWWLL
17
ETESTAC Troyes
6
1
1
4
4:13
4
0.67
LLLLW
18
LHLe Havre AC
6
0
2
4
4:8
2
0.33
LLDLD
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Toulouse vs Troyes: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Toulouse
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Troyes
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Toulouse
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Troyes
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Toulouse
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Troyes
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Toulouse
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Troyes
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Toulouse
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Troyes
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Toulouse (draw no bet)
75% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
63% chance
both teams to score: Yes
58% chance
Best value
Toulouse (draw no bet)
75% chance
Toulouse to win
58% chance
Toulouse
Last 10 games
1.5
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Troyes
Last 10 games
1.4
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Toulouse

Nobody listed.

Troyes
  • Out · Ismael Boura (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Yvann Titi (Defender) — Injured
  • YKOut · Yacouba Kone (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Anis Ouzenadji (Forward) — Injured
Ligue 1
10 Oct 2026 · 19:45
MonacoM
2-2
TToulouse
Ligue 1
16 Oct 2026 · 19:45
Le MansLM
0-3
TToulouse
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AngersA
2-0
TTroyes
Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 · 19:45
TroyesT
0-2
MMarseille
Goals scored
4
0.8 per game
Goals conceded
13
2.6 per game