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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Ligue 1 · Round 7
Lyon
Nice
19:45Sun
57%
20%
Draw23%

Lyon are the stronger side

DWWLW

last 5 games

LDLWW

last 5 games

Stadium
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon · 59,186 seats
Referee
Francois Letexier (France)
Managers
Paulo Fonseca · Olivier Pantaloni
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 1.5 4.70→4.90 (+4.3%)
Preview

Lyon are 4th of 18 in Ligue 1, with 11 points from 6 games played.

Nice are 10th of 18, with 8 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Lyon scored 1.8 and conceded 1 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Nice scored 1 and conceded 1.3 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 40%.

Lyon last played Crystal Palace (at home) and won 3-2.

Nice last played Strasbourg Alsace (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, Lyon has 4W 1D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Lyon
3Win1Draw1Loss
Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
ParisP
0-0
LLyon
UEFA Europa League
16 Sep 2026 · 20:00
AnderlechtA
1-2
LLyon
Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 · 19:45
LyonL
4-0
SRStade Rennais
Nice
2Win1Draw2Loss
Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 · 14:00
ParisP
3-0
NNice
Ligue 1
05 Sep 2026 · 19:45
NiceN
1-1
LMLe Mans
Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AuxerreA
1-0
NNice

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.210.2
30.630.6

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
10251
5171.4
Events
Team

15 of Lyon's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Lyon's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Nice drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 74% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

14 of Lyon's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Lyon's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 81% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Lyon didn't draw in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Lyon or Nice (no draw) · 77% chance
14 / 15
No draws

Nice drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 matches in Ligue 1

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 74% chance
14 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Lyon scored in 13 of their last 15 home matches

Lyon over 0.5 goals · 86% chanceLyon over 1.5 goals · 58% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Lyon and Nice in Ligue 1

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
AMAS Monaco
6
4
2
0
10:5
14
2.33
DWDWW
2
LOLille OSC
6
4
1
1
9:4
13
2.17
WLWWD
3
SRStade Rennais FC
6
4
1
1
12:10
13
2.17
WLWWW
4
OLOlympique Lyon
6
3
2
1
11:4
11
1.83
LWDWD
5
PFParis FC
6
3
2
1
8:4
11
1.83
LWDWW
6
PSParis Saint-Germain
6
3
2
1
11:8
11
1.83
WWWLD
7
TFToulouse FC
7
2
3
2
12:11
9
1.29
WDWDL
8
SBStade Brest 29
6
2
2
2
12:9
8
1.33
WLLWD
9
FLFC Lorient
6
2
2
2
6:6
8
1.33
WLDWL
10
ONOGC Nice
6
2
2
2
5:7
8
1.33
WWLDL
11
RCRacing Club De Lens
6
2
1
3
11:10
7
1.17
WLDLL
12
SAStrasbourg Alsace
6
2
1
3
11:12
7
1.17
LLDWW
13
ASAngers SCO
6
2
1
3
7:10
7
1.17
LWDLW
14
OMOlympique Marseille
6
2
0
4
9:8
6
1
WLLLL
15
LMLe Mans FC
7
1
3
3
10:15
6
0.86
LLWDD
16
AAAJ Auxerre
6
2
0
4
8:16
6
1
LWWLL
17
ETESTAC Troyes
6
1
1
4
4:13
4
0.67
LLLLW
18
LHLe Havre AC
6
0
2
4
4:8
2
0.33
LLDLD
Champions League Champions League Qualification UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation Playoffs Relegation

Lyon vs Nice: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Lyon
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Nice
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Lyon
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Nice
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Lyon
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Nice
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Lyon
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10
Nice
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Lyon
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Nice
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Lyon or Nice
77% chance
Lyon (draw no bet)
74% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
64% chance
Best value
Lyon to win
57% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
64% chance
Lyon
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
1
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals60% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Nice
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Lyon
  • Out · Nicolas Tagliafico (Defender) — Other
  • MOOut · Mohamed Ouedraogo (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Lois Openda (Forward) — Injured
Nice
  • Out · Laurent Abergel (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Morgan Sanson (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Moise Bombito (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Antoine Mendy (Defender) — Injured
Ligue 1
09 Oct 2026 · 19:45
LensL
2-1
LLyon
UEFA Europa League
15 Oct 2026 · 17:45
LyonL
3-2
CPCrystal Palace
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
5
1 per game
Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026 · 16:15
NiceN
2-1
LLille
Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00
NiceN
2-1
SAStrasbourg Alsace
Goals scored
5
1 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game