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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 8
Inter
Fiorentina
12:30Sun
69%
13%
Draw18%

Inter are the stronger side

LWDWL

last 5 games

LWWDL

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan · 80,018 seats
Preview

Inter are 1st of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 16 points from 6 games played.

Fiorentina are 19th of 20, with 4 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Inter scored 2.5 and conceded 1.5 a game on average, and both teams scored in 70% of those.

Fiorentina scored 1.7 and conceded 1.8 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 70%.

Inter last played Club Brugge (at home) and lost 3-4.

Fiorentina last played Genoa (away) and lost 1-2.

Head-to-head, Inter has 5W 1D 0L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.67 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Inter
2Win1Draw2Loss
UEFA Champions League
08 Sep 2026 · 20:00
Real MadridRM
2-1
IInter
Serie A
14 Sep 2026 · 19:45
InterI
5-3
UUdinese
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00
RomaR
2-2
IInter
Fiorentina
2Win1Draw2Loss
Serie A
05 Sep 2026 · 14:00
FiorentinaF
1-2
TTorino
Serie A
11 Sep 2026 · 19:45
VeneziaV
2-4
FFiorentina
Coppa Italia
15 Sep 2026 · 20:00
FiorentinaF
3-0
PPisa

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
61.271.4
30.640.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
142.8112.2
10271.4
Events
Team

Inter scored in 15 of their last 15 matches

Inter over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceInter over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Inter scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Inter over 0.5 goals · 91% chanceInter over 1.5 goals · 70% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Inter haven't lost in 15 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Inter or draw · 87% chance
15 / 15
Unbeaten

14 of Inter's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Inter's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Inter's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals in Serie A

Over 1.5 goals · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Inter won at least one half in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Inter to win either half · 79% chance
14 / 15
Won at least one half

14 of Fiorentina's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Inter and Fiorentina in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
IMInter Milano
6
5
1
0
18:8
16
2.67
WDWWW
2
LRLazio Rome
6
5
1
0
11:4
16
2.67
WWDWW
3
ARAS Roma
6
4
2
0
14:3
14
2.33
DDWWW
4
FCFrosinone Calcio
7
4
1
2
13:9
13
1.86
WLWDW
5
CCCagliari Calcio
6
4
1
1
6:3
13
2.17
DWWWL
6
AMAC Milan
6
3
3
0
11:5
12
2
DWDDW
7
JTJuventus Turin
6
3
2
1
9:5
11
1.83
DWLDW
8
C1Como 1907
6
3
2
1
9:6
11
1.83
DLWWW
9
SNSSC Napoli
6
3
1
2
10:6
10
1.67
WDWLL
10
ABAtalanta BC
6
3
0
3
8:8
9
1.5
WLLLW
11
SCSassuolo Calcio
7
2
2
3
12:14
8
1.14
LDLWD
12
TFTorino FC
6
2
1
3
7:9
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
ULUS Lecce
6
2
0
4
6:12
6
1
LLWLL
14
BFBologna FC
6
1
2
3
5:7
5
0.83
WDLDL
15
UCUdinese Calcio
6
1
1
4
9:13
4
0.67
LLLLW
16
AMAC Monza
6
1
1
4
9:15
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
GCGenoa CFC
6
1
1
4
5:11
4
0.67
WLDLL
18
PCParma Calcio
6
1
1
4
4:10
4
0.67
LWLDL
19
AFACF Fiorentina
6
1
1
4
7:14
4
0.67
LDWLL
20
VFVenezia FC
6
0
0
6
5:16
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Inter vs Fiorentina: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Inter
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Inter
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Inter
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Inter
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Inter
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Fiorentina
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Inter to win
69% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: Yes
57% chance
Best value
Inter to win
69% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
55% chance
Inter
Last 10 games
2.5
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Fiorentina
Last 10 games
1.7
scored a game
1.8
conceded a game
Both teams scored70% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Inter
  • Out · Curtis Jones (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Lautaro Martinez (Forward) — Injured
Fiorentina
  • Out · Fabiano Parisi (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Arthur Atta (Midfielder) — Injured
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 17:00
InterI
3-0
PCParma Calcio
UEFA Champions League
13 Oct 2026 · 20:00
InterI
3-4
CBClub Brugge
Goals scored
14
2.8 per game
Goals conceded
11
2.2 per game
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 11:30
FiorentinaF
1-1
NNapoli
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
2-1
FFiorentina
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game