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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 8
Atalanta
Frosinone
15:00Sun
59%
20%
Draw21%

Atalanta are the stronger side

LLLWW

last 5 games

WDWLW

last 5 games

Stadium
New Balance Arena, Bergamo · 24,950 seats
Preview

Atalanta are 10th of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 9 points from 6 games played.

Frosinone are 4th of 20, with 13 points from 7 games played.

Over their last 10, Atalanta scored 1.3 and conceded 0.9 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Frosinone scored 2.2 and conceded 1.7 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 60%.

Atalanta last played Pafos (at home) and won 3-1.

Frosinone last played Sassuolo (at home) and won 4-2.

Head-to-head, Atalanta has 4W 1D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Atalanta
2Win0Draw3Loss
Serie A
05 Sep 2026 · 19:45
RomaR
2-1
AAtalanta
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 19:45
AtalantaA
1-2
CCagliari
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00
JuventusJ
2-0
AAtalanta
Frosinone
3Win1Draw1Loss
Serie A
06 Sep 2026 · 14:00
FrosinoneF
3-2
VVenezia
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
1-1
FFrosinone
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
FrosinoneF
2-0
CComo

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.430.6
81.640.8

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.681.6
10281.6
Events
Team

14 of Atalanta's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Frosinone scored in 14 of their last 15 home matches

Frosinone over 0.5 goals · 71% chanceFrosinone over 1.5 goals · 35% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Frosinone's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 86% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Frosinone scored in 14 of their last 15 away matches

Frosinone over 0.5 goals · 71% chanceFrosinone over 1.5 goals · 35% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

14 of Frosinone's last 15 away matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

Atalanta didn't draw in 13 of their last 15 matches

Atalanta or Frosinone (no draw) · 78% chance
13 / 15
No draws

Atalanta scored in 13 of their last 15 matches

Atalanta over 0.5 goals · 89% chanceAtalanta over 1.5 goals · 65% chance
13 / 15
Goals scored

13 of Atalanta's last 15 matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 85% chance
13 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Atalanta and Frosinone in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
IMInter Milano
6
5
1
0
18:8
16
2.67
WDWWW
2
LRLazio Rome
6
5
1
0
11:4
16
2.67
WWDWW
3
ARAS Roma
6
4
2
0
14:3
14
2.33
DDWWW
4
FCFrosinone Calcio
7
4
1
2
13:9
13
1.86
WLWDW
5
CCCagliari Calcio
6
4
1
1
6:3
13
2.17
DWWWL
6
AMAC Milan
6
3
3
0
11:5
12
2
DWDDW
7
JTJuventus Turin
6
3
2
1
9:5
11
1.83
DWLDW
8
C1Como 1907
6
3
2
1
9:6
11
1.83
DLWWW
9
SNSSC Napoli
6
3
1
2
10:6
10
1.67
WDWLL
10
ABAtalanta BC
6
3
0
3
8:8
9
1.5
WLLLW
11
SCSassuolo Calcio
7
2
2
3
12:14
8
1.14
LDLWD
12
TFTorino FC
6
2
1
3
7:9
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
ULUS Lecce
6
2
0
4
6:12
6
1
LLWLL
14
BFBologna FC
6
1
2
3
5:7
5
0.83
WDLDL
15
UCUdinese Calcio
6
1
1
4
9:13
4
0.67
LLLLW
16
AMAC Monza
6
1
1
4
9:15
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
GCGenoa CFC
6
1
1
4
5:11
4
0.67
WLDLL
18
PCParma Calcio
6
1
1
4
4:10
4
0.67
LWLDL
19
AFACF Fiorentina
6
1
1
4
7:14
4
0.67
LDWLL
20
VFVenezia FC
6
0
0
6
5:16
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Atalanta vs Frosinone: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Atalanta
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Frosinone
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Atalanta
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Frosinone
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Atalanta
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Frosinone
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Atalanta
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Frosinone
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Atalanta
Under
100% · 10 of 10
Over
0% · 0 of 10
Frosinone
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Atalanta (draw no bet)
75% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
66% chance
both teams to score: Yes
63% chance
Best value
Atalanta (draw no bet)
75% chance
Atalanta to win
59% chance
Atalanta
Last 10 games
1.3
scored a game
0.9
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals50% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Frosinone
Last 10 games
2.2
scored a game
1.7
conceded a game
Both teams scored60% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet20% of games
Atalanta
  • Out · Isak Hien (Defender) — Injured
  • Out · Kamaldeen Sulemana (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Odilon Kossounou (Defender) — Injured
  • TPOut · Thomas Pompei (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Giorgio Scalvini (Defender) — Injured
Frosinone
  • Out · Florian Grillitsch (Midfielder) — Injured
  • DBOut · Daniel Birligea (Forward) — Injured
Serie A
12 Oct 2026 · 17:30
AtalantaA
3-1
VVenezia
UEFA Conference League
15 Oct 2026 · 20:00
AtalantaA
3-1
PPafos
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 19:45
NapoliN
3-0
FFrosinone
Serie A
16 Oct 2026 · 19:45
FrosinoneF
4-2
SSassuolo
Goals scored
10
2 per game
Goals conceded
8
1.6 per game