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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Serie A · Round 7
Roma
Genoa
19:45Sat
62%
16%
Draw22%

Roma are the stronger side

DWDDL

last 5 games

DWLLW

last 5 games

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Rome · 70,634 seats
Referee
Rosario Abisso (Italy)
Managers
Gian Piero Gasperini · Daniele De Rossi
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Draw No Bet: Away 4.90→4.30 (-12.2%), 1X2: Draw 4.87→4.33 (-11.1%), Double Chance: Draw or Away 2.50→2.30 (-8%), Over/Under: Under 1.5 4.40→4.10 (-6.8%)
Preview

Roma are 3rd of 20 in Serie A 26/27, with 14 points from 6 games played.

Genoa are 17th of 20, with 4 points from 6 games played.

Over their last 10, Roma scored 2 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 50% of those.

Genoa scored 1 and conceded 1.5 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 50%.

Roma last played Real Madrid (at home) and lost 3-4.

Genoa last played Fiorentina (at home) and won 2-1.

Head-to-head, Roma has 3W 1D 2L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.17 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

Roma
1Win3Draw1Loss
UEFA Champions League
10 Sep 2026 · 17:45
FenerbahceF
1-1
RRoma
Serie A
14 Sep 2026 · 17:30
TorinoT
0-2
RRoma
Serie A
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00
RomaR
2-2
IInter
Genoa
2Win1Draw2Loss
Serie A
12 Sep 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
1-1
FFrosinone
Coppa Italia
15 Sep 2026 · 17:00
GenoaG
1-0
SBSudtirol Bolzano
Serie A
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00
Parma CalcioPC
2-1
GGenoa

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
5110.2
20.420.4

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
81.671.4
5161.2
Events
Team

Roma scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Roma over 0.5 goals · 85% chanceRoma over 1.5 goals · 57% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

15 of Genoa's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 78% chance
15 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Roma's last 15 matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Roma's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

14 of Roma's last 15 home matches had a goal in the 2nd half

Over 0.5 goals in the 2nd half · 78% chance
14 / 15
Total goals 2nd Half: +0.5

14 of Roma's last 15 away matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 76% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

Roma haven't lost in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Roma or draw · 84% chance
14 / 15
Unbeaten

Roma scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in Serie A

Roma over 0.5 goals · 85% chanceRoma over 1.5 goals · 57% chance
14 / 15
Goals scored

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of Roma and Genoa in Serie A

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
IMInter Milano
6
5
1
0
18:8
16
2.67
WDWWW
2
LRLazio Rome
6
5
1
0
11:4
16
2.67
WWDWW
3
ARAS Roma
6
4
2
0
14:3
14
2.33
DDWWW
4
FCFrosinone Calcio
7
4
1
2
13:9
13
1.86
WLWDW
5
CCCagliari Calcio
6
4
1
1
6:3
13
2.17
DWWWL
6
AMAC Milan
6
3
3
0
11:5
12
2
DWDDW
7
JTJuventus Turin
6
3
2
1
9:5
11
1.83
DWLDW
8
C1Como 1907
6
3
2
1
9:6
11
1.83
DLWWW
9
SNSSC Napoli
6
3
1
2
10:6
10
1.67
WDWLL
10
ABAtalanta BC
6
3
0
3
8:8
9
1.5
WLLLW
11
SCSassuolo Calcio
7
2
2
3
12:14
8
1.14
LDLWD
12
TFTorino FC
6
2
1
3
7:9
7
1.17
WDLWL
13
ULUS Lecce
6
2
0
4
6:12
6
1
LLWLL
14
BFBologna FC
6
1
2
3
5:7
5
0.83
WDLDL
15
UCUdinese Calcio
6
1
1
4
9:13
4
0.67
LLLLW
16
AMAC Monza
6
1
1
4
9:15
4
0.67
LWLDL
17
GCGenoa CFC
6
1
1
4
5:11
4
0.67
WLDLL
18
PCParma Calcio
6
1
1
4
4:10
4
0.67
LWLDL
19
AFACF Fiorentina
6
1
1
4
7:14
4
0.67
LDWLL
20
VFVenezia FC
6
0
0
6
5:16
0
0
LLLLL
Champions League UEFA Europa League Conference League Qualification Relegation

Roma vs Genoa: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
Roma
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Genoa
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
Roma
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Genoa
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
Roma
Under
30% · 3 of 10
Over
70% · 7 of 10
Genoa
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
Roma
Under
50% · 5 of 10
Over
50% · 5 of 10
Genoa
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
Roma
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Genoa
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
Over 1.5 · total goals
77% chance
Roma to win
61% chance
both teams to score: No
51% chance
Best value
Under 2.5 · total goals
48% chance
Under 3.5 · total goals
69% chance
Roma
Last 10 games
2
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals70% of games
Kept a clean sheet40% of games
Genoa
Last 10 games
1
scored a game
1.5
conceded a game
Both teams scored50% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet10% of games
Roma
  • Out · Bryan Cristante (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Mile Svilar (Goalkeeper) — Injured
  • Out · Manu Kone (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Paulo Dybala (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Donyell Malen (Forward) — Injured
Genoa
  • Out · Lorenzo Venturino (Forward) — Injured
  • EHOut · Elias Havel (Forward) — Injured
  • Out · Lorenzo Colombo (Forward) — Injured
  • FEOut · Franz Ethan Meichtry (Midfielder) — Injured
  • Out · Djibril Sow (Midfielder) — Injured
Serie A
11 Oct 2026 · 11:30
ComoC
0-0
RRoma
UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 2026 · 20:00
RomaR
3-4
RMReal Madrid
Goals scored
8
1.6 per game
Goals conceded
7
1.4 per game
Club Friendly Games
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00
Rapid BucurestiRB
2-0
GGenoa
Serie A
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00
GenoaG
2-1
FFiorentina
Goals scored
5
1 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game