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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

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18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

MLS
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
00:30Sun
51%
27%
Draw22%

New York Red Bulls are the stronger side

WWLWL

last 5 games

LLLWD

last 5 games

Stadium
Sport Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ · 25,000 seats
Referee
Marcos De Oliveira (USA)
Managers
Michael Bradley · Robin Fraser
Odds have moved in the last 24h — not advice, just worth knowing before you bet: Over/Under: Under 2.5 2.80→3.20 (+14.3%), Draw No Bet: Away 2.45→2.70 (+10.2%), Over/Under: Under 3.5 1.77→1.92 (+8.5%), 1X2: Away 3.33→3.60 (+8.1%)
Preview

New York Red Bulls are 17th of 30 in MLS 2026, with 36 points from 29 games played.

Toronto FC are 23rd of 30, with 33 points from 29 games played.

Over their last 10, New York Red Bulls scored 0.9 and conceded 1.3 a game on average, and both teams scored in 40% of those.

Toronto FC scored 1.8 and conceded 2.2 a game over the same span, and both teams scored in 80%.

New York Red Bulls last played DC United (away) and lost 1-2.

Toronto FC last played Orlando (at home) and drew 3-3.

Head-to-head, New York Red Bulls has 3W 2D 1L from the last 6 meetings, averaging 4 goals a game.

Last 5 matches

Every competition. Scores are coloured from each team's side: green won, orange drew, red lost. Tap the arrow to see the first half.

18+ · Estimates, not guarantees. The win chance shown is the model's view. Bet responsibly.

New York Red Bulls
3Win0Draw2Loss
MLS
12 Sep 2026 · 00:30
ColumbusC
0-1
NYNew York
MLS
18 Sep 2026 · 00:30
New York CityNY
0-1
NYNew York
MLS
30 Sep 2026 · 00:30
New YorkNY
0-3
SLSaint Louis
Toronto FC
1Win1Draw3Loss
MLS
12 Sep 2026 · 00:30
OrlandoO
3-0
TToronto
MLS
20 Sep 2026 · 01:30
Saint LouisSL
3-1
TToronto
MLS
27 Sep 2026 · 01:30
NashvilleN
2-0
TToronto

First half goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
30.630.6
10.251

Final goals

Goals scoredper gameGoals concededper game
71.461.2
61.2122.4
Events
Team

New York conceded in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Toronto FC over 0.5 goals · 78% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

15 of Toronto's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
15 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

15 of Toronto's last 15 home matches saw both teams score

Both teams to score: Yes · 69% chance
15 / 15
Both teams to score: Yes

Toronto scored in 15 of their last 15 home matches

Toronto FC over 0.5 goals · 78% chanceToronto FC over 1.5 goals · 45% chance
15 / 15
Goals scored

Toronto conceded in 15 of their last 15 home matches

New York Red Bulls over 0.5 goals · 88% chance
15 / 15
Goals conceded

Toronto drew or saw over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or over 2.5 goals · 82% chance
15 / 15
Drew or over 2.5 goals

Toronto drew or saw both teams score in 15 of their last 15 home matches

A draw or both teams to score · 72% chance
15 / 15
Drew or both teams to score

14 of New York's last 15 home matches had over 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals · 88% chance
14 / 15
Total goals: +1.5

A pattern in past results, not a prediction. Each one shows the longest run of recent games where it held at least 80% of the time.

Standings of New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC in MLS

#
Team
MP
W
D
L
G
Pts
PPG
Last matches
1
NSNashville SC
29
20
6
3
63:22
66
2.28
WWWWD
2
VWVancouver Whitecaps FC
29
15
7
7
61:30
52
1.79
DDLDW
3
IMInter Miami CF
29
14
10
5
70:50
52
1.79
WWLDD
4
SLSaint Louis City SC
29
14
9
6
54:38
51
1.76
DWWWW
5
FDFC Dallas
29
14
8
7
53:45
50
1.72
WLWDW
6
NENew England Revolution
29
15
4
10
48:41
49
1.69
WLLWW
7
CFChicago Fire
29
14
6
9
52:43
48
1.66
LWWWL
8
SJSan Jose Earthquakes
29
13
8
8
51:41
47
1.62
DDWDW
9
CFCharlotte FC
29
13
7
9
51:43
46
1.59
LWLWD
10
HDHouston Dynamo
29
13
7
9
39:37
46
1.59
DDLDL
11
PUPhiladelphia Union
29
13
6
10
59:46
45
1.55
WWWWW
12
LALos Angeles FC
30
12
9
9
47:32
45
1.5
WDLDL
13
SSSeattle Sounders
29
11
8
10
38:36
41
1.41
LWWWW
14
LALos Angeles Galaxy
30
10
9
11
41:50
39
1.3
WLWWD
15
CRColorado Rapids
29
11
5
13
41:41
38
1.31
DDLDW
16
OCOrlando City SC
29
11
5
13
54:69
38
1.31
DWLLW
17
NYNew York Red Bulls
29
10
6
13
39:54
36
1.24
LWLWW
18
FCFC Cincinnati
28
9
9
10
60:68
36
1.29
LWLDD
19
PTPortland Timbers
29
9
6
14
51:56
33
1.14
LDLLL
20
RSReal Salt Lake
29
9
6
14
42:47
33
1.14
DLWLL
21
NYNew York City FC
29
8
9
12
42:40
33
1.14
LLDLW
22
SDSan Diego FC
29
8
9
12
51:54
33
1.14
DLDDL
23
TFToronto FC
29
7
12
10
44:55
33
1.14
DWLLL
24
DUDC United
28
7
12
9
36:47
33
1.18
WLDLD
25
CCColumbus Crew
29
9
5
15
44:47
32
1.1
WLWWL
26
MUMinnesota United FC
29
7
10
12
44:53
31
1.07
DDLLL
27
AFAustin FC
29
7
10
12
37:54
31
1.07
LLDDW
28
AUAtlanta United FC
29
8
6
15
36:48
30
1.03
WLDWD
29
CMCF Montreal
29
6
6
17
35:59
24
0.83
LLWLL
30
SKSporting Kansas City
29
6
4
19
35:72
22
0.76
LDLWL

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: pre-match stats

For each team, in how many of its recent matches did this happen? Based on its last 10 matches, in any competition.

Part of the match
Which matches
What to look at
Total goals in the match: over or under 0.5
New York Red Bulls
Under
10% · 1 of 10
Over
90% · 9 of 10
Toronto FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 1.5
New York Red Bulls
Under
40% · 4 of 10
Over
60% · 6 of 10
Toronto FC
Under
0% · 0 of 10
Over
100% · 10 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 2.5
New York Red Bulls
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Toronto FC
Under
20% · 2 of 10
Over
80% · 8 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 3.5
New York Red Bulls
Under
80% · 8 of 10
Over
20% · 2 of 10
Toronto FC
Under
60% · 6 of 10
Over
40% · 4 of 10
Total goals in the match: over or under 4.5
New York Red Bulls
Under
90% · 9 of 10
Over
10% · 1 of 10
Toronto FC
Under
70% · 7 of 10
Over
30% · 3 of 10

The bar shows the share of that team's matches. The bigger option is highlighted. These are past results, not predictions.

Our three best bets
New York Red Bulls or draw
74% chance
Over 2.5 · total goals
70% chance
both teams to score: Yes
69% chance
Best value
New York Red Bulls to win
52% chance
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)
67% chance
New York Red Bulls
Last 10 games
0.9
scored a game
1.3
conceded a game
Both teams scored40% of games
Over 2.5 goals40% of games
Kept a clean sheet30% of games
Toronto FC
Last 10 games
1.8
scored a game
2.2
conceded a game
Both teams scored80% of games
Over 2.5 goals80% of games
Kept a clean sheet0% of games
New York Red Bulls

Nobody listed.

Toronto FC
  • Out · Walker Zimmerman (Defender) — Injured
  • NPOut · Nelson Palacio (Midfielder) — Injured
MLS
10 Oct 2026 · 00:30
New YorkNY
4-1
SDSan Diego
MLS
14 Oct 2026 · 00:30
DC UnitedDU
2-1
NYNew York
Goals scored
7
1.4 per game
Goals conceded
6
1.2 per game
MLS
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00
TorontoT
2-1
MMontreal
MLS
14 Oct 2026 · 00:30
TorontoT
3-3
OOrlando
Goals scored
6
1.2 per game
Goals conceded
12
2.4 per game